Didn't hear about temps. But he went full ? on snowfall though.
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,431
- Reaction score
- 9,932
Thanks for posting these predictions. I've been watching this time period also but maybe not as much as you have but the gefs has been showing some members that do indeed show some wrap around snow and some that is intense. I wouldn't pay no attention at the OP gfs with details this far out, but there is a strong storm signal indeed.
Don’t like this run of the gefs, we need that late phase for better CAA in the first place and the GEFS separated them more this run, can see the surface temp response (warmer) due to less CAA and little bit having to possibly due to its cold bias, we can still get that 50/50 to trend back S 
ATLwxfan
Member
Not sure I’ve EVER seen wraparound snow in Atlanta. There’s a first time for everything I suppose.
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I am in Atlanta currently and I must say the weather today was absolutely atrocious.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
It definitely was a very wet, soggy, cold day across much of the state. I was outside for about 20 minutes and the world outside was thoroughly soaked and there was some puddles in areas that would let you know it's rained hard.
May have had 2" in the first round and that batch that's coming through Georgia now looks pretty heavy so there might still be a good bit to go.
May have had 2" in the first round and that batch that's coming through Georgia now looks pretty heavy so there might still be a good bit to go.
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,300
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- 3,299
I got wrap around snow December 2017. My area didn't get crap during the main daytime band, but the backside upper level disturbance gave me about 1.5 inches to save the day from total disaster.
Golf7575
Member
@Webberweather53, Dr. Roundy from UOA emailed me today and said that we actually got to areas of where the mjo is currently. He believes the area in the pacific makes it way to the western hemisphere eventually at some point. Also, HM said yesterday that the reason for the warmer pattern advertised is the lag effect of the positive IOD and once that weakens enough is when things change dramatically. You probably read that yesterday. Not sure if he is correct in that assessment or not. What is your thoughts about the tropical forcing along and west of the international dateline? Do you really believe that will help us as time moves on? Thanks in advance.
Jessy89
Member
Snowfall his winter outlook that came on at 7 was actually really good
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Nomanslandva
Member
00z GFS, well that was different for the day 7-8 threat.
It is a completely different run, it has similar looks to what the 18z GEFS members shown. It's actually an approved run. Of course, the GFS may spit out some crazy/weenie runs over the next few days. Tonight's 0z GEFS could be interesting I bet.
Yup, the 0z GEFS still shows wrap around snowfall with the 21st/22nd system on some of the members. Member 3 actually shows a blizzard (notice the tight pressure gradient) on the colder sector of the storm system, the low intensifies over southeastern VA.
y’all ain’t gone like this..
WHAT HOUR IS THIS ON, IM NOT SEEING ANYTHING CLOSE TO THAT
end of the run, but it started going to hell well inside 200hr
Yep and all models right now aren’t worth a poop until ur inside 135 hours .. so we wait
THIS IS WHAT I SEE AT THE END OF THE RUN AND FROM HR 186 TO 240 THE LOWEST TEMPS ARE IN THE 40'S
tennessee storm
Member
If it isn’t going to snow ... might as well
That’s the point
tennessee storm
Member
Yeah 0z euro... says break out the grill n shorts on Christmas Day