Well I'd say that the TT snowfall accumulation maps are as much garbage as the model is. I know it's free but it puts out ridiculous amounts of frozen precip that never verifies.
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Well I'd say that the TT snowfall accumulation maps are as much garbage as the model is. I know it's free but it puts out ridiculous amounts of frozen precip that never verifies.
I can’t believe we’re still calling it the FV3
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It doesn’t deserve the GFS name which is actually kind of sad.
Right now it looks like the 17-18th.
Really nice to see the GEFS agreeing with the Euro/EPS in this frame.
SnowNiner
Member
The GEFS looks like it wants to grab a -NAO and keep it through till the end of the run. The pacific though is a mess. The west coast vortex is not going to get it done for us if it plays out like that. The pacific needs to swap color locations.
Well if there’s one thing that goes against that, it’s how badly western ridges have been modeled so far and they pop up out of nowhere, unfortunately sometimes, especially with a -EPO you often destroy a -NAO
Holy block city by hr144 on the Euro. May be a good run for you Carolina folks.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Euro is much closer than the GFS to producing something with the first wave on the 16th/17th, GFS was in Ohio Valley with the winter weather, Euro was in northern Tennessee and now Kentucky/Virginia (so it misses on NC).
Now to see if this low ends up bombing.
Now to see if this low ends up bombing.
Probably gonna be extremely close to a winter storm with that one storm, that’s impressive and that 50/50 is more south, only if the eps looked as good
Just that high strength in the NE ain’t it
ForsythSnow
Moderator
It's a cutter again. VA N scores.
We all have to watch this one now, like Myfro said 50/50 trending westward, PAC ridge and blocking trending stronger and the PV sinking in. If that continues this will trend south.
Euro not far from dropping the cold hammer past 162hrs. Good trends, very good trends.
Edit: not to mention the split flow trying to develop.
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BHS1975
Member
All you need is a south wind to break records these days.
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yeah it's looking like a decent setup, and that might be what some of the GEFS members were on to.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Definitely sounds like the pattern that will be coming up for the second half of the month will be a good one for winter storm chances around here. Going to be busy.
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