Pattern Sweatember '22

[iGRXY]

On radar it looks like we’ve only gotten showers most of the morning but it has really been putting it down all morning

 

[JHS]

Nothing much here so far and GSP backing off on pops. Look likely we will stay mostly dry here a few more days.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Please just have some consistency for once in your sad existence

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Nothing much here so far and GSP backing off on pops. Look likely we will stay mostly dry here a few more days.

Jonesville doesn't do well in this setup. All that works there is tropical systems and outflow boundary collisions

 

[Tarheel1]

Jonesville doesn't do well in life. It’s a desert like landscape, and doesn’t even have a Dollar General

Your time will come Shetley! GFS looked moist over the next two weeks

 

[NCSNOW]

Thankfully over 2 hours in to moderate+ rain and still coming down.

 

[JHS]

Looks like the Euro is taking the late week rain out of most of the Carolinas. Looks like at least Sat for the next chance here unless we somehow get rain later today.

 

[iGRXY]

Been raining here really well the last couple days. Granted being only about 15 miles away from 3500-4000 ft mountains really helps getting lift and ringing out moisture. Even when the radar showed we were out of the rain it was still pouring. Up close to 3”

 

[smast16]

I didn't expect today. I barely saw the sun, and been in a repeat of yesterday with training storms / showers. 0.72 so far today with possibly more a total of 3.33 over 2 days. I've had more rain in the last 2 days than I've had since July 10th.

 

[Metwannabe]

Seems bout right

 

[Metwannabe]

That ridiculous cutoff line on the euro slid a little east, almost close enough to smell the rain

 

[LickWx]

That ridiculous cutoff line on the euro slid a little east, almost close enough to smell the rain

All the trees are shedding crispy leaves . Don’t be fooled it ain’t fall, those leaves are just burnt !

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

I have 2.3 inches. So about what was modeled here. But still no where close to the widespread 2+ inches over the whole area. Model verification scores seem to improve but it feels like these models keep getting worse.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This has been painful

 

[SWVAwxfan]

We've gotten a really good soaking this weekend in the NRV of VA. Highs only in the 70s to near 80.

 

[JHS]

I have 2.3 inches. So about what was modeled here. But still no where close to the widespread 2+ inches over the whole area. Model verification scores seem to improve but it feels like these models keep getting worse.

You may very well get another inch of rain over the next couple of hours. It looks to miss me to the north so on to Sat before the next chance here.
Edit:
It's falling apart now so no rain here this week and no real relief in sight from the heat or the humidity through day 16. Once this event is over, the rest of the fall will be like 2001, meaning we MAY get good rain sometime after Thanksgiving.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Finally. Getting some good rain here with this trailing cell

 

[BufordWX]

Already 3.18” this month back home in Buford from what I saw. Had at least 0.5” each of the past 4 days. Not a bad start to month considering they had under 3 inches in all of August.

 

[J1C1111]

You may very well get another inch of rain over the next couple of hours. It looks to miss me to the north so on to Sat before the next chance here.
Edit:
It's falling apart now so no rain here this week and no real relief in sight from the heat or the humidity through day 16. Once this event is over, the rest of the fall will be like 2001, meaning we MAY get good rain sometime after Thanksgiving.

Closing in on 3 inches of rain over the last 3 days here. Still raining on and off now. Yard is so wet probably going to have to wait a few days to dry before I can cut grass. What a difference around 60 miles makes.

 

[Arcc]

Looks like the Euro/GFS/CMC are showing our first true frontal passage around day 5-6. Maybe it will hold.