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Pattern Sweatember '22

Pretty decent amount so for at work this morning in far southern Cabarrus county. Forecast has 1-2 inches tonight. We can use the rain but thats a bit excessive for 1 night.
 
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Has only reached 70, and 0.80" of rain. Glad everyone is getting in on this, and looks like you boys out east gonna rack up. That's a slug of moisture.

KRAX - Super-Res Reflectivity Tilt 1, 5_40 PM.png
 
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Moist! For today and tomorrow’s eventEE2A662F-921A-443F-BCBF-3C2B675019BB.pngB910BFD4-571D-4AD1-A84C-ABAD8254A290.png
 
B
SD said:
That stuff down near Rockingham is interesting and we are still somehow unstable this morning we this disturbance may start firing some new weak cells up. I do think this will hamper the afternoon though
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I'm about to get in on that batch and it looks to be oriented in way it should train for a bit. Hopefully my biggest rains in 2 months are instore
 
Shaggy said:
B

I'm about to get in on that batch and it looks to be oriented in way it should train for a bit. Hopefully my biggest rains in 2 months are instore
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Congrats! Things definitely fired up better than I expected but made the best of the early morning instability
 
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Hopefully everyone got good rain this weekend because the 12z GFS is very dry for many of us through day 16 and if it is right summer is FAR from over. It shows mid 90's and fairly high dew points on day 15 for many of us.
 
JHS said:
Hopefully everyone got good rain this weekend because the 12z GFS is very dry for many of us through day 16 and if it is right summer is FAR from over. It shows mid 90's and fairly high dew points on day 15 for many of us.
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The key phrase you said there “if it’s right”. Two weeks ago at this time, the GFS was keeping things very dry and was wanting to put many of us into the triple digits this weekend…. it’s a completely useless model after after day 7 and not even reliable until day 5.
 
Chazwin said:
The key phrase you said there “if it’s right”. Two weeks ago at this time, the GFS was keeping things very dry and was wanting to put many of us into the triple digits this weekend…. it’s a completely useless model after after day 7 and not even reliable until day 5.
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The worst of the heat probably will not show up I agree, but the Euro is also very dry through day 10 so that will probably happen. No real sign of the end of summer on either model right now. The next few weeks may be very boring unless the tropics heat up or we start getting some cold fronts through. The season for daily pop up storms is rapidly coming to a close now.
 
JHS said:
The worst of the heat probably will not show up I agree, but the Euro is also very dry through day 10 so that will probably happen. No real sign of the end of summer on either model right now. The next few weeks may be very boring unless the tropics heat up or we start getting some cold fronts through. The season for daily pop up storms is rapidly coming to a close now.
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Why do you fall for the models showing dryness every time?
 
I'm personally ready for the dry. 1.7 more this morning, up to 7.3 for the month. It is a muddy soupy mess here and the humidity has driven me to my breaking point. Tomorrow evening cannot get here soon enough. Don't want what the GFS is showing after that though, done with the heat.
 
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