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Misc Stock Market

Closed my NVDA from $113.80 at 122.44. Almost 9 pts...still taking trades but then getting out of the way.
 
I did add some TQQQ this morning at 82.20'ish...to go along with the SPY I'm carrying. Market defying gravity so why fight it. And now closing at NVDA at 122 mid seems foolish. I suck sometimes.
 
Interesting. Supposedly (Chinese users, so I'm not sure) the new 5090 cards are dying cause of some kind of motherboard issue with the PCIE 5.0 tech.

Just a heads up for NVIDIA investors. I have no clue how widely these cards are being invested in versus the 4090 right now. Performance gains arent massive for the cost.
 
With selling AMD in my IRA, I am going to replace with MSFT. Its been consolidating for 13 months now and revenues are still growing aggressively. Starter position for now.

This may test $380'ish so want to be able to add down there.

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Qs at $125 mid...which has been resistance in the past. Last Friday it gave that up violently. Still holding TQQQ from low 82's...see how it reacts. But lately it seems we get some news from Trump and everything dumps hard...so tricky.

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Sucky day...just waterfalled it at 2:30pm, took out the morning low and now grinding it higher. They cleared out a lot of trailng stops...Amazon earnings tonight. I have some SPY on and a few TQQQ on. But typically when you see the waterfall late afternoon you get bearish closes but we shall see.

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META with 14 straight green day...RSI of 80. I'm not sure it's ever going to see another red day.

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Brutal price action...just waterfalling, clearing out stops and then they yank it up hard...I got out of the way and no swings on. Been a great week/year and don't need this...

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Inflation came in super hot…couple that with Trumps world tariff we are heading to a dark place. I got stopped out Friday and have done nothing all week. Been a good start to the year and now just waiting Tax selling hasn’t even started.
 
There is no room to run back the tariff/trade war game from 2018 without us initially probably getting a move to 3.5% inflation.

It's lost to the mystics of time, but the games from 2018 did initially push inflation up.
 
I’m fairly disgusted with this market. I’m definitely taking a break from it. This makes no sense. Pathetic price action.

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META with 18 straight green days. Just unreal...

SPY/Qs was saved today by a few of the mega caps. Other than that it bleak.

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Figured this was the proper thread for the markets and economy. Possible largest layoff in US history started tonight with federal probationary workers. USDA fired forest service, ARS, RD, and NRCS with other departments and agencies to follow
 
I’m a bit late to this, but I can see a push into 6165 by the S&P and then back off.

My base opinion on 2025 isn’t invalid unless 6200-6300 is passed with ease in the next 6ish weeks as I thought that could be reached and then you could see volatility ramp up and from the way it sounds, there is a chance it gets more interesting after the QQQ $510 covered puts expire in March.
 
Market very annoying right now...yesterday SPY opened up above Fridays high and actually dipped below Friday's low late in the day and then they ran it up hard the last 30 mins. Today is just muted volume, blah but it's ATH's. I have some SPY but come on...a hard pullback is coming soon.

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not really surprised that we're back under 6100, but if the S&P holds over 5900ish at worst to close the month, I think you can see 6200, and then more vol post March OPEX.
 
Market very annoying right now...yesterday SPY opened up above Fridays high and actually dipped below Friday's low late in the day and then they ran it up hard the last 30 mins. Today is just muted volume, blah but it's ATH's. I have some SPY but come on...a hard pullback is coming soon.

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Finally seeing a real pullback...I got stopped out yesterday and it's been a good start to the year. Probably won't be doing much until we see a good 8-12% pullback in SPY.

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Finally seeing a real pullback...I got stopped out yesterday and it's been a good start to the year. Probably won't be doing much until we see a good 8-12% pullback in SPY.

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SPX with a big trendline break...economy is doing good I guess...but inflation numbers have been horrid and Trump's tariffs are only going to make things worse. Trump alone will drive up unemployment which will affect everything. I really don't see how 2025 is going to be green this year. I came into this year thinking at best SPX would be flat. Cash in IRA's is earning 4.5-5% yield and will probably beat the market from here.

I won't be doing much until I see a 8-12% pullback in SPY...maybe more. I want to see the lower bollinger band peppered.

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I've kept a relatively open mind on potential market outcome for 2025 (only thing I put off the table personally was a +20% threepeat), but I'll probably cliff jump if NVDA earnings aren't absorbed relatively well by the market, whether green or red next week.

4800-5000 could definitely be tested.

Somewhat annoyingly though, if we see that occur this year, it's probably healthier than continuing to run and then crash hard with the bull from 2008 ending.
 
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