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Misc Stock Market

neckline broke on semi but the short trend has held, would open up a large position but the fed rate tomorrow has uncertainty written all over it NDQ1710426002248.png
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Closed my short out on SQQQ for a few $...you just cant keep this market down. Unreal. Still long...70% cash though.
 
Closed my short out on SQQQ for a few $...you just cant keep this market down. Unreal. Still long...70% cash though.
I'm a terrible short....I should have held these but I have seen so many times the market rip 1-2% on terrible macro news. I don't mind missing out on gains or losing on longs but I hate losing money short.
 
Terrible price action...broke the low of the day and then ramped it right back up hard into the close. I hate when the market gets like this...I am still very light and not touching this when it gets like this.

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@KyloG .....What are you thoughts on INTC now that news has leaked of the Chips Act money being announced next week? Looks like hard consolidation right now above the previous base....I feel like a rip to $50 next week isnt out of the realm of possibility.
 
Market is so brutal...3 days of heavy selling last week essentially erased overnight.

I'm not happy...I was 70% cash coming into today and now I have a decision to make. Chase this or wait...I am waiting for now.

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Still not chasing...this type of gap up after heavy selling last week is so difficult...aggravating. This is the 5th day SPY has rejected $515 the past couple of weeks. That doesn't scream breakout but if this closes on the highs today then maybe we get another gap up tomorrow.

My plan is if it breaks that trendline to add with a stop at LOD. I would much prefer this rollover hard though...

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Market is so brutal...3 days of heavy selling last week essentially erased overnight.

I'm not happy...I was 70% cash coming into today and now I have a decision to make. Chase this or wait...I am waiting for now.

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on the NDQ it went back to retest the fib zone and it was around the bottom of the short term trend 1710783484894.png
 
Still not chasing...this type of gap up after heavy selling last week is so difficult...aggravating. This is the 5th day SPY has rejected $515 the past couple of weeks. That doesn't scream breakout but if this closes on the highs today then maybe we get another gap up tomorrow.

My plan is if it breaks that trendline to add with a stop at LOD. I would much prefer this rollover hard though...

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Brutal...was about to add but then didn't get the follow through 10min candle. So predatory...it looks like it's going to rollover. Today is why you can't short this market...you get to stare into a huge gap up like this and now they roll it over.


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I hate this market...I went 100% cash. That is the 5 rejection of 5170...strength being sold over and over at those levels.

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have a few limit orders in.. guessing after the ride back up to find resistance we will drift down this afternoon.

mm crow lol guess we didnt trend down
 
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Jumped back in some OTM TSLA calls this morning on the dip. Let’s see if I can blow an account.
 
Seriously...the DOJ is going after Apple because of this. If Apple loses it will set back innovation into the stone ages.

 
Seriously...the DOJ is going after Apple because of this. If Apple loses it will set back innovation into the stone ages.

I for one hope Apple loses. They haven't actually innovatived for a long time. True innovation was at the beginning. Their practices as a business are becoming the epitome of bad consumer practices like always finding a loophole around right to repair.
 
I for one hope Apple loses. They haven't actually innovatived for a long time. True innovation was at the beginning. Their practices as a business are becoming the epitome of bad consumer practices like always finding a loophole around right to repair.
I don't know enough about other smartphone models but do Android phones have the ability to run iTunes. I'm not sure what they want...Apple should just let other Mfgs use iTunes and iCloud and charge a healthy subscription fee per user. They can't make Apple give this away for free.
 
I for one hope Apple loses. They haven't actually innovatived for a long time. True innovation was at the beginning. Their practices as a business are becoming the epitome of bad consumer practices like always finding a loophole around right to repair.
Reality is someone in the DOJ trying to make a name for himself by going after a titan...plus it's an election year. Apple will end up paying some fine and conceding something to open up more things.
 
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I don't know enough about other smartphone models but do Android phones have the ability to run iTunes. I'm not sure what they want...Apple should just let other Mfgs use iTunes and iCloud and charge a healthy subscription fee per user. They can't make Apple give this away for free.
It isn't on Android nor does it work with it. It definitely isn't good how much they control so antitrust suits make sense.
 
Seriously...the DOJ is going after Apple because of this. If Apple loses it will set back innovation into the stone ages.

Yea, thanks DOJ.
 
Still following the trendlines
 

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LAC sure did go! BNKD bear bank reentered the trendlines could be a nice pop
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Options are crazy expensive over at DJT. I would buy a $60 put exp tomorrow if they weren’t $3.50 😳
 
kinda looks like a inverted head &shoulders on semi's was better seen on soxs filled the move around 70%1711633368390.png
 
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1711983935138.pngsemis had a nice pop this am! assuming that was a inverted head and shoulders..price seemed to reject the fib retraced back for a retest lower a inverted head and shoulders..price seemed to reject the fib retraced back for a retest lower
 
I've been fairly light past couple of weeks...scalp here or there, probably haven't traded this little since 2022. RSI hit 80 on the SPX weekly chart...it's beyond over extended but doesn't mean it's going sell off either. Just going to patiently wait for a multi-week correction to buy a dip. Q1 was my best Q1 since maybe 2019 and not going to throw that away chasing a market this extended.

To pacify my gambling I've been taking advantage of legalized gambling and March Madness.

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For the Qs...this is the 5th week it's rejected $446 and RSI showing neg divergence and a weekly macd cross to the downside could be imminent. Last time we saw this was the July highs last summer and then we got 2-3 month correction. I don't expect a correctly to last that long this spring through.


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Last time we saw this was the July highs last summer and then we got 2-3 month correction. I don't expect a correctly to last that long this spring through.

Thing that's kinda funny, is what I'm seeing vibe wise just reminds me of...late last summer into October, what's missing is the S&P actually tipping over for now.

There was one week after options expiry that was an exception where it went 4 of 5 on green days recently, but besides that week, the S&P has recently had a 7 of 10 red stretch and pulled only 1 solid green day during last week.

That's all similar to the stuff that was seen during the slow grind down that lasted for three months last year, and yet because the S&P managed to avoid much damage when going 7 out of 10 on red days, cash was at 5280 overnight, which is a record that will need to trade, it just may not be this week, could be month or longer from here.

I'd find it hard to buy a repeat of August-October, but then again, maybe because liquidity is lower now than it was previously (although really at this point, it'd probably be a slow grind down to 4980-5000 somehow instead of a 10% grind down, and that's it, any more than that is probably not a great sign).
 
Are we finally going to see a multi week correction. We’ve thought this before but haven’t been able to get follow thru. Let’s see if tomorrow sees follow thru.
 
Are we finally going to see a multi week correction. We’ve thought this before but haven’t been able to get follow thru. Let’s see if tomorrow sees follow thru.
Wouldn’t bet on it but I’m always wrong sometimes
 
Textbook island top...but this bull market has been so strong.

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