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Misc Stock Market

Guys buying the puts are making the cash in this topsy turvy market right now. Will we get a semblance of a Santa Claus rally soon? I’m a little interested in a quick call scalp in docu after being down nearly a hundo yesterday
 
So, my take is that if the S&P can stay at or above 4450 until next week, the chance of a year end rally is there.

Below, and it’ll be a limp to the finish line no matter what most likely.

This doesn’t have to do with technical analysis, it has to do with that JHEQX strike that is sitting at 4450. It proved problematic in September until it was rolled. As long as we stay above, and the Fed doesn’t prove too surprising (would going to cutting by 30 in January really be that surprising? Honestly, I don’t think so, as I thought it was possible even before that statement on Tuesday last week), I think we end up seeing volatility get crushed, and that will be what fuels it.

Yes, this would qualify as a blog post, lol.
 
Anybody that was still short on the Nasdaq after yesterday's reversal got blown out starting late last night. Good grief.

The Russell too.
 
Broken024 said:
Asset inflation from easy money policies would be my guess. No where to put money outside of stonks or real estate.
Click to expand...

What about including a basket of commodities in portfolios via ETFs?

In addition, I’m extra curious about natural gas for the shorter term (say for several weeks). Many indications are suggesting high population areas of the E and C US (especially up north) will likely turn much colder late month than the current ridiculous warmth. Many CFS runs as well as MJO based climo suggest this cold dominating for several weeks. I’m wondering if a short term investment in a NG price based ETF would be a good risk now because they plunged in late November and early December largely due to the current unusual warmth. Combined with this is a secondary factor, colder also modeled to return to Europe at about the same time and continuing at least into early January. European temps, though not nearly as important as US temps, are somewhat of a factor due to a big increase in exports to there.

Commodity price based ETFs are very risky though and aren’t meant to be held longterm because they may tend to drop in the long term. So, this would need to be money you could afford to lose a large portion of. But this is a way to hedge against inflation and NG has recently fallen so much.
 
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