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Misc Stock Market

Cold blooded....they took out the lod of $310.4...and than ripped it up hard.

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Let's go !!! Man I hope turnaround Tuesday lives up to its name


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Let's hope....I am super long right now....but I have been trading/scalping like crazy today.
 
Q's had this break of a intraday falling wedge but double top at $317.7....if that breaks today/tomorrow it's gone.

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SPY broke out of it's bear channel...see if it holds. Option flow is still really bearish, many puts being bought into this rip...

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VIX still above $30....I really don't think the market is going to like what the Fed has to say on Wednesday but my swing account is as long as it's been in several weeks. Holding over night....can we get a 2 day rally before Fed poops all over it...

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VIX still above $30....I really don't think the market is going to like what the Fed has to say on Wednesday but my swing account is as long as it's been in several weeks. Holding over night....can we get a 2 day rally before Fed poops all over it...

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Was today really a rally though . Market barely finished green . That's why I'm hopefully for a massive green pump tomorrow


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$AMD - been rejected at $91 multiple times past few weeks. It reports tomorrow....I have shares and I added options for an earnings play earlier.

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Was today really a rally though . Market barely finished green . That's why I'm hopefully for a massive green pump tomorrow


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Tough to imagine Q's gets through $330...there was enough bad news with earnings with Apple/GOOGL/NFLX.

If there is a stock god Q's go crazy tomorrow and tag $330 and than we can flip short.

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Another pivot on the Q's is $322....probably a more realistic pivot to watch tomorrow to flip short.

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Bought TQQQ this morning @ 36.50. Stopped me out at 35.20 then immediately pumped it. This isn’t even fun anymore
 
Bought TQQQ this morning @ 36.50. Stopped me out at 35.20 then immediately pumped it. This isn’t even fun anymore
Today was cold blooded…they love to take out stops and then rip it higher.

Cold for both bears and bulls.

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If this isn’t just a replay of last week where SPX recovers from a selloff on Monday and then gets completely blasted the next day, it can retrade…wait for it…4250 in the next couple trading days pre Fed decision.

It would be based on shorts letting up and waiting for the decision to make their next move.

I can say this time that I absolutely do not expect more than about around there though (maybe 4280 at most). I think this is December 2018 and the drill returns after the meeting. We likely are in the 3800s by the end of next week.

Weekly close above 4300 on the S&P and I’m wrong though and it’s likely the same case as last time where bears had a good shot to deliver the death blow and dropped the ball. And honestly, I’d love it, some people would be pretty darn ticked off if the S&P went “THIS” close to filling the 4k gap with it failing to occur.
 
If this isn’t just a replay of last week where SPX recovers from a selloff on Monday and then gets completely blasted the next day, it can retrade…wait for it…4250 in the next couple trading days pre Fed decision.

It would be based on shorts letting up and waiting for the decision to make their next move.

I can say this time that I absolutely do not expect more than about around there though (maybe 4280 at most). I think this is December 2018 and the drill returns after the meeting. We likely are in the 3800s by the end of next week.

Weekly close above 4300 on the S&P and I’m wrong though and it’s likely the same case as last time where bears had a good shot to deliver the death blow and dropped the ball. And honestly, I’d love it, some people would be pretty darn ticked off if the S&P went “THIS” close to filling the 4k gap with it failing to occur.

I go back and forth on what I think is going to happen....Q's hit $309 yesterday so that is almost 25% down from ATH's and would need a 30% move higher to get back to ATH's. I guess it makes sense that we haven't seen our lows for the year but I don't think we see the Q's end the year down 20-25%....maybe that's wishful thinking though.
 
NQ going to test that dtl....a break of that and Q's could test $330 in a couple of days

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Q's look very vulnerable here....pushed above yesterday's high and promptly gave it up....a break below $316 and it gets ugly.

Looking to add back to positions if Q's gets back to the $316's...otherwise will just wait with what I have on.

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Added a few $315/$308 put spread on the Q's for $2. I suck so bad at shorting...probably hits $325 today now.
 
AMD rejecting $91....again. Earnings today...I expect a big beat.

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I guess it's chop city today . Praying for only .25 hike tomorrow and we have a face melting rally


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This was interesting last night when I saw it:




Suggests that the impact of QT will be negated for now (and puts more credence to the idea of a dog and pony show going on here instead of seriousness), but you have to wonder if whether there's a purpose behind this. Like maybe the treasury is doing this because Powell is going to tell us that they're actually going to actively sell treasuries (passive is expected, active would be a big surprise) or they aren't going to back away from "maybe we're going to do 75 next month".

I actually think the Fed coming out and saying that we're doing 50 here, it will be 50 next month, and then we'll evaluate from there could trigger something like mid-March, the thing is, do they really want to do that? Maybe they come out and are tough and it causes a panic.
 
NVDA looks good...still holding shares from yesterday and added some at $194 today. A break of $196 and it can climb to $200 quick...

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Basically every single attempt by NQ has been getting whacked today so far, if that quit for a bit, the S&P would have a nice follow through from that comeback yesterday.

It's too easy at this point and they think that it will remain very easy...recipe for some good ole' f'ery...but we'll have to wait and see what happens tomorrow.
 
SPY has been strong all day…dark pool has been very bullish.

Maybe this is headed for test of the 20dema. ?‍♂️


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Exited most of my long positions but still have Q’s puts. My Q’s are keeping the entire market from selling off. I should apologize to all the shorts for screwing them…?‍♂️

Been a good 2 days, small short for fun.
 
We probably rip tomorrow....NQ is getting real tight. Had a nice little bull trap with that head fake breakout. I am small short into tomorrow as it's a pure guessing game on what the market is going to do with Fed. I do have a small option play on for AMD earnings for my only long.



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