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Severe Severe Threat 2/21-2/23

The sun just popped out here in Madison County. Is that bad?
It isn't good as it may allow for greater instability to build in. At the same time though there are countless other variables in play here it may have no impact as a whole. Generally speaking you would prefer it stay cloudy though.
 
Hrrr coming back to the idea of the longer tracked super cell northwest of bham. HRRRSE_con_uphlysw_013.png
 
Interesting to note the HRRR is not handling the instability well on its eastward extent.
 
Also the HRRR shows a line of renegade supercells lol. I think it may be on drugs for that one
 
Got a lot of cells popping up across MS/AL. Some showing weak rotation.
 
Hey @Arcc the 19z is back with the monster updraft swath in north Alabama same location same parameters. May see a big one later. HRRRSE_con_uphlysw_011 (2).png
 
It may be showing the possibility of cells forming on the rain cooled boundary across extreme NE Mississippi into NW Alabama.
View attachment 114208
Probably what it's picking up on. Either way it's not good, with the parameters in play you could possibly have a violent tornado in that corridor. Nonetheless all eyes will be glued on coverage later. That boundary setting up isn't good. A similar type of boundary set up on April 27th with a cooled rain air mass and the warm moist air to the south. Hackleburg/ Phil Campbell tornado spawned from that. Not saying this will be like that. But boundaries are pretty big
 
Probably what it's picking up on. Either way it's not good, with the parameters in play you could possibly have a violent tornado in that corridor. Nonetheless all eyes will be glued on coverage later. That boundary setting up isn't good. A similar type of boundary set up on April 27th with a cooled rain air mass and the warm moist air to the south. Hackleburg/ Phil Campbell tornado spawned from that. Not saying this will be like that. But boundaries are pretty big
May have a rare occasion where the spc issues a mesoscale discussion for one cell lol
 
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