HSVweather
Member
Also Huntsville NWS is covering it, has Severe Thunderstorms in the actual forecast.
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Severe Severe Threat 2/21-2/23
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
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Zander98al
Guest
Either the HRRR is pretty smart or pretty dumb when it comes to this discreet convection. I'm more so leaning towards the HRRR being right. But if it is that's really not a good thing.
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Zander98al
Guest
Last 3 runs on simulated radar have been pretty darn similar. 
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Zander98al
Guest
The litmus test of the day will be at around 2 or 3 o'clock. Hrrr has a few thunderstorms popping up in central Alabama around that time before supercell it shows, it'll show how accurate the HRRR is right now. Some of those 2 or 3 o'clock storms may actually be weak supercells?
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Zander98al
Guest
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Zander98al
Guest
New runs updraft swaths
Drscottsmith
Member
And the longest swath initiates in the same vicinity.
TileDude
Member
Starting to get a few breaks in the cloud cover in Hoover.
HSVweather
Member
HSVweather
Member
All clouds up here but seeing a few breaks on visible, notably back in Mississippi
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Zander98al
Guest
WOW. Look at the the boundary!!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
FWIW the 15z HRRR just took the storm away
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Zander98al
Guest
It still keeps the updraft swaths though, it's been consistent in a general idea of a boundary running supercell. Wouldn't be surprised if it shows back up like It was again. But idk interesting to watch. Oh wait it doesn't have the updraft swath on the 15z lol I thought it did.
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Zander98al
Guest
Check out the updraft swath in north Alabama tho,
I still think there will be a long track decent supercell in the same vicinity as it's been showing especially if it's on a boundary with paramters that aren't half bad.@LukeBarrette
I still think there will be a long track decent supercell in the same vicinity as it's been showing especially if it's on a boundary with paramters that aren't half bad.@LukeBarrette
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Zander98al
Guest
That north Alabama swath is no joke. Check the stp exactly on top of the updraft swath. STP at a 9!. @HSVweather this is in your neck of the woods if verified.
EMTime
Member
FWIW here in northeast ms, the sun is out. It's very muggy. I was actually sweating when we were outside.
That is pretty impressive there.
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Zander98al
Guest
It's a very good possibility too. That could produce a violent tornado in that atmosphere. Continue to watch trends.
olhausen
Member
Heavy rain and even a severe thunderstorm warning came through early this morning and looks to have put a lid on our severe threat here that was supposed to came late this afternoon. Spc has taken me out of the slight risk which I’m more then happy with.
