That Birmingham cell is a real eye catcher. Looks as if it rides a boundary. Look how long track it is. From the state line and currently still going by the time it gets to Birmingham. Upper air soundings are going to be vital by 18z from bmx.
what does this mean for north Alabama when it shows this?
That the atmosphere is primed for some really strong storms. Of course there is a lot of other ingredients that have to come together. But when your getting near the maxed out area it's usually not a good sign. Kinda getting a bit anxious for the cell that sets up on a boundary.
not good. Showing 1000-1500j of sbcape with this storm as well.thanks. appreciate you updating us
I honestly doubt we see an upgrade. Just looking at the WRFs neither have an convection before the storms along the front. Way too much uncertainty.
I'd put some stock in the HRRR though it was pretty good last severe threat. But good observation didn't take into account the WRFs. Usually in this range I solely rely on the HRRR
Lol always follow what your local Mets say. But I'd say there's a possibility of some bad weather in your area. Weather offices kind've have to be conservative in threats
