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Pattern September Somnolence

SD said:
This is really getting ridiculous and there is nothing showing to really shake things up. Top 10 hottest September looks like a good bet. Maybe a cold front by 10/1

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Yeah, this sucks. Definitely looks like October before we get a break, hopefully.

14-km EPS Global North America 5-day Avg 500Z Anom 312.png
 
It is nasty hot out today. I mowed the lawn and worked in the yard from 9:30 to 11;30 this morning, and it was like having a wet blanket on top of me. Hope that is the last time I have to mow the lawn if it is going to be this hot all month.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
My A/C is running non stop. Here’s to another $180 power bill :(
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Damn cheap, very much so ... need your power company to covertly run a line down here into the Peoples Socialist Republic of Alachua
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Where they built a billion (yes, amortized) $ biomass plant to generate electricity, not stopping to think they'd have to clear cut a 100 mile radius for the next 50 years, and forgetting the carbon necessary for 18 wheelers to haul it in, or the destruction to existing road surfaces ... and forgetting that we already have a natural gas pipeline that ... Oh well ... shows what short sighted nonsense can lead to ... highest per kwh in the state ... and rising ... 2% this month and going ...
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Oh and BTW ... groundwater levels are at the highest since they've kept records, but we're on water restrictions ...
 
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Its either the rubber band effect or pattern persistence that will win out. One or the other.


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pcbjr said:
You don't want an Opal, and probably not a Kate, but here's sending some hopes and prayers for a nice steady rain that keeps the Nottley in its banks, but fills the lake (Winfield) ... :cool:
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It could sit over Blairsville and never fill up Nottely. I was just there last weekend and they already started draining it.
 
ahh, that's more like it...
gfs_z500_mslp_us_46.png
 
in a change today it was only 80 degrees and rained on and off all day here :p

Broke the streak of 90+ days

However the LR GFS looks more like I would expect :p
 
At this rate we won't see 50s for lows again until Oct. We hit the upper 50s in August during that brief cool spell.
 
pcbjr said:
You don't want an Opal, and probably not a Kate, but here's sending some hopes and prayers for a nice steady rain that keeps the Nottley in its banks, but fills the lake (Winfield) ... :cool:
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No Opal for sure, just rain!
 
accu35 said:
Cheer up guys, our pattern change will come.
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I’m of the belief that if temps were running BN for this time of year THEN we would need to worry. I feel we are primed for pattern change going into early winter. Hopefully this doesn’t mean we flip from AN September- early October to a BN late October- early December then back to AN late December-Early February :(
 
Lots of changes happening in Canada on the models.. not sure how it stays quite so zonal in the US... still not trusting the models past 7 days... after Florence does its thing, we should have a better understanding of what happens in mid to late Sept. Full on, AB front to back, I'm still not buying at this point. One good note, actual blue precip is showing up again in Canada, even at lower elevations... the seasons are indeed, a-changing.
 
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SD said:
Only 92 at the house yesterday. Ending the string of 93s from the previous 3 days
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And just like that I've got dry patches of grass showing up.... over 14 days now and only .21, major turn around here
 
C801794D-E5C0-4D19-AAAA-AF7A3AB2C62C.png I’m with the have nots, despite this map!
 
no drought over here... just muggy, soggy, uncomfortable weather...
 
metwannabe said:
And just like that I've got dry patches of grass showing up.... over 14 days now and only .21, major turn around here
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It doesn't take long with relentless sun and 90+ degree temps. Starting to get the same here. I think tomorrow through Monday holds decent chances for rain though and maybe some areas of high totals so maybe we can hold the really dry conditions off a little longer

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SD said:
It doesn't take long with relentless sun and 90+ degree temps. Starting to get the same here. I think tomorrow through Monday holds decent chances for rain though and maybe some areas of high totals so maybe we can hold the really dry conditions off a little longer

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To quote one of my favorite posters, JHS, “ only a tropical system can break this drought “! :D
 
For the rain I desperately need, I’m pulling for this Florence thing, to come into S Ga, as a weak tropical storm and bring me a good soaking!
 
Tarheel1 said:
For the rain I desperately need, I’m pulling for this Florence thing, to come into S Ga, as a weak tropical storm and bring me a good soaking!
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For all of our sake's here in GA, mostly Larry, I say no. I don't want another Irma but worse up here and I definitely don't want to see what a cat 3 can do to Savannah as there is no chance it'll make landfall weak. Hope for an out of nowhere Gulf storm that's weak for rain.
 
We need something to break this pattern, we don’t even have the normal dry September heat, it’s been downright muggy.
 
Of course we get into a wetter pattern 3-4 days before we may get remnant hurricane rain, possibly! 60% chance of rain Sun - Wed
 
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