What a letdown the "severe weather threat" is turning into tomorrow. No wonder there aren't any posts about it. The 12z Nam is very unimpressive. And the latest modeling has backed off of the follow-up threat for hail/graupel. Meh
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September Sizzling Summer Segway
- Thread starter Tarheel1
- Start date
Yeah things have certainly trended more progressive and less impressive over the last 24 hours. I'm not sold we are 100% out of the woods yet as the setup looks like it might be enough for a couple of strong wind gusts and maybe a spin up.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Soooooo ready for this, this past week of clouds and humidity has been like torture. Bring back Fall!
smast16
Member
I just want the rain from this because it looks dry for a bit after this.
Yeah I’m kinda glad that - tilt euro solution that happened a few days ago isn’t verifying, that would have been bad, nam just looks like a linear mess
The soundings aren’t terrible, but this setup has way more mid level flow and meager low level shear since it’s not really tilted much, definitely enough mid level flow for some organization
Today feels like it is primed for some storms later. Has that muggy feel but not like summer.
NoSnowATL
Member
Has that winter/ spring transition feeling for sure.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Looks like today will most likely be the last 80+ day in Atl until at least next March. No 80s forecast thru mid Oct.
NoSnowATL
Member
We can hope but I wouldn’t bet money. November-March can get warm.
Brent
Member
What a way to end September
SPC mentioning a upgrade to slight is possible with a few tornadoes and some damaging winds
This is “king euro” for you 
It has become a hunk of junk.
I'm sure we'll find a way to get there multiple times.
Remember they are only guidance
80F right now. Will it be the last 80 of 2020?
We wouldn’t be treating it so nice if it was the winter ?
Going back to 2014 in CHA, only two years saw no 80s after Oct 15th.. 2018, and 2017. A couple of Novembers had low 80s as well.
Hmmm tomorrow I got 2 options, along the coast for waterspoots, or the cold front, stuff along the coast looks more HP mode favorable tho while the cold front stuff would be more linear but could be more vented Stuff around C NC 
Along the front in CNC
Along the front in CNC
smast16
Member
Can the LCL get any lower without it being fog?
I just now noticed that, wow...
Dewpoint Dan
Member
2014-2019 is not exactly the best representation of what a typical October is like. 80s after Oct 15 are typically hard to come by.
They’re typically hard to come by, but it always seems that even in colder winters, CLT will make a run at 80 sometime early to mid November and then sometime mid to late February...those times are often followed by cold shots. December and January typically there’s just not a enough daylight, but it’s not completely unheard of.
I can do more samples if you want.. you're just going to see mostly the same thing. If not at least upper 70s.
I'm worried about the waterspoots
BHS1975
Member
What are you smoking? I’ve seen 80s around here in Jan and Feb the last few years.
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Dewpoint Dan
Member
Wow thats crazy. Im not sure Atlanta has ever hit 80 in Jan although i could be wrong.
nope. With snow in Colorado this hurricane will swing due East and miss most of the s/e other than Florida.What if these 2 collided
BufordWX
Member
Interesting, there is one day this week that will not be like the others.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Everybody wins! I’m going to get snow from the outer bands of a hurricane! ?What if these 2 collided
Sunset after the storms: 
cd2play
Member
Annnnnnd, Houston says "let's not and say we did"What if these 2 collided
What a lightning show and heavy rain and little pea size hail in Cherokee county Georgia. Wow!
Soooooo sloooowwwwww
Doesn’t help when the OBX is stealing moisture it’s causes the main line to wash out over the mtns seen it many times. With that said there will still be storm development very soon
Bannerdude
Member
The threat was expanded westward on the latest NWS update, but severe parameters also don't appear to have improved much from yesterday's model runs
Picked up 1.01" last night which was mostly from the one big storm. Lots of lightning and maybe a little hail but I was too lazy to get up. The Tempest said "Extreme Rain" which was the first time I saw that since I got it. Currently 57 with a good breeze.