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Pattern September 2023 Discussion Thread

Myfrotho704_ said:
Feel like if I posted H5 (esp jan and Feb) for multi year cold ENSOs to a Nino, I’d make the site crash
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Most likely. I worry that this year gets stuck in the redundant cycle of polar pacific air where we just cycle through highs 50-60 and lows 25-35 but we end up with a lot of 33-37 and rain or change over events. We will have to have a legit nao block this year to offset the STJ wanting to creep North and cut off any cold intrusions
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Feel like if I posted H5 (esp jan and Feb) for multi year cold ENSOs to a Nino, I’d make the site crash
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I doubt it. I heard it was going to be moved around 9/1 after the last tropical Cyclone event. We might could be probably up for good possibly now maybe
 
Fall colors will lag a decent amount at this rate. This upcoming weekend may spark the earliest non-stress signs in WNC high elevations. Mild lows worry me
 
Well not a single drop has fallen I'm right here in the middle of those two somewhat bigger cells no rain at all out of this. Super disappointedScreenshot_20230912_151643_RadarScope.jpg
 
weatherfide said:
We can't seem to sustain these updrafts down my way... ugh. It is soooo dry.
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Despite what looked like good systems moving through barely any rain made it to the ground. There were a few very light sprinkles but not enough to discolor the garden dirt, which is basically powder right now
 
I thought maybe I would make it the entire month with a trace, but picked up .9" between two storms.
 
EmersonGA said:
When it normally happens.
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I have seen many Late September's where there was a strong cold front with lows in the 40s. I have a feeling that may not happen until Mid October this year. My birthday is the first week of October and it's usually very pleasant with chilly nights. I may be sweating on my birthday this year.
 
Snowlover87 said:
I have seen many Late September's where there was a strong cold front with lows in the 40s. I have a feeling that may not happen until Mid October this year. My birthday is the first week of October and it's usually very pleasant with chilly nights. I may be sweating on my birthday this year.
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I did just have a facebook memory pop up of it hitting 51 last year so it does happen. Doesn't seem to happen much though. I was telling my son last week about a time, I think about 15 years ago, where we went fishing at the Nantahala on Labor Day. It was chilly at home but we hit 39 in Mineral Bluff and had jackets on all day when we got to the River.
 
EmersonGA said:
I did just have a facebook memory pop up of it hitting 51 last year so it does happen. Doesn't seem to happen much though. I was telling my son last week about a time, I think about 15 years ago, where we went fishing at the Nantahala on Labor Day. It was chilly at home but we hit 39 in Mineral Bluff and had jackets on all day when we got to the River.
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The high was 70 and low was 44 in Atlanta on 9-26-2001 in Atlanta, and i'm sure it was in the upper 30s in much of North GA. So it can definitely get chilly in Late September. The previous year, in 2000, it was 67 for a high on 9-26-2000 with a low of 51. On 9-29-2003 the high was 67 and low was 46.
 
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