Wintry Possible Snow & Ice Threat Nov 14-15

[Tarheel1]

What are the chances of the upstate of SC getting in on some of the action?

.0000001%, and that’s for TR and North

 

[NWMSGuy]

Winter Weather Advisory issued for the MidSouth!

 

[ForsythSnow]

FFC for the mountains :

Extended period begins with the culprit upper low exiting through
KY and Eastern TN and much of the moisture exiting to the east
with it. Mid level dry slot looks to work into the region during
the day Thursday from west to east so there should be a relatively
quick shut off to the rainfall. Late Thursday there appears to be
a window where there is enough wrap around moisture and cold air
across North GA that some snow showers could start mixing in.
Model soundings for that area suggest a shallow but saturated
subfreezing layer below about 850mb with drier air above it which
favors upslope snow showers. Have added snow showers which would
be more likely in the NW facing slopes during the evening hours on
Thursday into the first part of the overnight. Because the low is
rapidly exiting to the east...much of moisture evacuates quickly
with it so the window looks to be only about 6-9 hours or so. Have
not included any appreciable amounts but would not be surprised
to hear about a trace or dusting in some of the higher elevations.
Not anticipating any issues with the snow otherwise.

I wonder if any will make it down here or not. I don't believe the NAM as I know better by now, but other models bring moisture in and are quite close to something.

 

[Storm5]

Yep northern Miss and western Tenn under WWA

It’s like a kickoff classic !!!


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[Goose88]

I just hope here in Birmingham we squeeze out a few flurries. If Houston metro area does & we don't I might feel some type of way lmao

 

[snowlover91]

3km NAM sounding for SW NC. Right at 32F with temps 10C warmer at the 800-900mb level.

 

[No snow for you]

What fun is it to post a map with no snow?

Those are my favorite kind of maps. No snow for you

 

[ForsythSnow]

Looks good for sleet in GA.

 

[Kylo]

RGEM looks rough for the w-NC folks.

 

[Tarheel1]

Looks good for View attachment 7368 sleet in GA.

That’s .7 of liquid equivalent or .7 of sleet?

 

[BIG FROSTY]

How about a mixed bag!!
..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds around
10 mph this evening, becoming light and variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Light and
variable winds, becoming northeast around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or freezing rain. Ice accumulation of up
to one quarter of an inch. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds
around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
.THURSDAY...Rain and freezing rain in the morning, then rain
likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 30s. Northeast winds
around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow
showers, mainly in the evening. Little or no snow accumulation.
Near steady temperature in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds,
becoming northwest around 10 mph after midnight. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Winter Storm Watches out for parts of Western NC.
325 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. The precipitation
will be predominately freezing rain, but it may mix with rain
and sleet at times. Total ice accumulations from freezing rain
may reach one-quarter inch, with isolated pockets possibly
approaching one-half inch of ice along the immediate eastern
slopes of the Blue Ridge mountains. Total sleet accumulations
may range from one-tenth to one-half inch, especially just east
of the Blue Ridge.

* WHERE...Locations along the eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge
mountains and the immediately adjacent foothills of western
North Carolina.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely
due to the ice. Sleet accumulations may make roads treacherous.
Travel may be quite hazardous in impacted areas. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning commute on Thursday.


403 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Light to moderate icing possible. Total ice accumulations
of a quarter to six tenths of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia, north
central and northwest North Carolina and southeast West
Virginia.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely
due to the ice. Although road surfaces will be warm, some slick
spots could occur.

 

[snowlover91]

Looks good for View attachment 7368 sleet in GA.

Verbatim that sounding would be a cold rain with all layers at or above freezing. Any sleet would likely be in the initial onset when wet bulbs in the upper levels and especially the 925mb and below level might support it.

 

[Brent]

I just hope here in Birmingham we squeeze out a few flurries. If Houston metro area does & we don't I might feel some type of way lmao

Lol how do you think i feel

 

[accu35]

 

[No snow for you]

I’m cashing out on my 11 inches of fantasy snow and calling it a winter. Good luck to the rest of you this winter.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Well they are calling for ice on Thursday then changing to rain then changing to snow on Thurs night. Gonna be messy.

 

[Goose88]

Lol how do you think i feel

I believe we'll get the last laugh on the I-20 corridor Brent

 

[olhausen]

Here’s a snippet from the NWS for north and north west Tennessee.

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[Snowfan]

Should I change the topic to Possible Snow & Ice Threat Nov 14-15?