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Wintry Possible Snow & Ice Threat Nov 14-15

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#3
Euro control half inch SC jackpot is 30 miles to my south. Right where we want it. I’d feel better if it weren’t early November. This is the type of setup that sucks you in and let’s you down at the last minute around here. I know better
 

GaStorm

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Euro control half inch SC jackpot is 30 miles to my south. Right where we want it. I’d feel better if it weren’t early November. This is the type of setup that sucks you in and let’s you down at the last minute around here. I know better
Yeah I would certainly not expect the current models to play out verbatim since it's unheard of for this time of year. If we see some snow showers here that would be a nice bonus though.
 
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Yeah I would certainly not expect the current models to play out verbatim since it's unheard of for this time of year. If we see some snow showers here that would be a nice bonus though.
Yeah we’ve got 2 things working against us. High pressure location and climo. I will stay on my toes nonetheless
 

GaStorm

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#8
Well, not really; here's a series from 2005 and 2008, both Thanksgiving week ... just south of Rosie in Blairsville ...
I was actually referring to this area not Blairsville. Would be rare to have accumulating snow here so early.
 

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ForsythSnow

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#25
I ran back to the Dec storm last year and had a look at what we were looking at. Looks like it was a similar setup, but this one is weaker and the main low is further NE. Also, we are a month behind and the temps are a bit warmer in addition to the angle being sharper. Other point is look at how that storm was. 7 days before the storm the thread was created and this one is 5, but the runs I saw had the same time difference. A lot will change between now and the 13th.
On the other hand...
This is a good practice run for the disappointment train so get the oil ready because this one isn't going to be anything like the December storm. I'm certain we won't have anything outside the mountains except a few flurries at best.
But then again I underplayed the December storm by a lot...
Oh well let's just sit back and enjoy the thread that we get to open early.
 
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#26
My own LIX NWS office disco mentioning the possibility of light sleet for the earlier event on Sunday morning, but no mention of any winter wx for the 11/13 system.
 
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