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Political Thread

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GaWx said:
The polls listed below show how much better Biden has done vs Sanders vs all of these polls: now at a whopping 50% Biden vs only 19% Sanders with over half the precincts counted or a very impressive 31% margin vs the average poll margin of only 15%. So, assuming this largely holds, I’ll be looking to see if Biden gets good mo in the upcoming weeks. I admit I’m biased because I don’t want a socialist (Sanders) to be the next POTUS:

PollDateBidenSandersSteyerButtigiegWarrenKlobucharGabbardSpread
RCP Average2/23 - 2/2739.724.311.711.36.05.72.3Biden +15.4


Emerson		2/26 - 2/2741251111562Biden +16
Trafalgar2/26 - 2/2744231110662Biden +21
DFP (D)2/23 - 2/2734251313753Biden +9
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sanders way over performed in NV. Sanders is going to accumulate an insurmountable lead on Tuesday. Just watch. It’s all over already.
 
Warren, Klobuchar, and Buttigieg need to drop out. They got obliterated in back to back states. It’s over for them. I predict Klobuchar and Buttigieg drop out after Super Tuesday. Warren (Pocahonkey) is a stubborn loser who stay in because her ego is too much.
 
LithiaWx said:
sanders way over performed in NV. Sanders is going to accumulate an insurmountable lead on Tuesday. Just watch. It’s all over already.
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You cannot be serious about it already being over. Biden had a very impressive SC primary (final narrowed slightly but was still 48% to 20%) The 28% margin was way above the 15% average pre-primary poll. He got nearly 2.5 times the votes Sanders got. This almost definitely has to mean Biden will pick up delegates in southern states vs earlier projections. As it is now, I believe Biden is now only 6 delegates behind!

Bernie did overperform in NV, but SC being more recent and it being a primary rather than a caucus may bode well for Joe’s prospects. I think we have a legit race. Let’s see how it goes Tuesday.
 
LithiaWx said:
Warren, Klobuchar, and Buttigieg need to drop out. They got obliterated in back to back states. It’s over for them. I predict Klobuchar and Buttigieg drop out after Super Tuesday. Warren (Pocahonkey) is a stubborn loser who stay in because her ego is too much.
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K and Pete dropping out should also help Biden more than Sanders. Hopefully, Warren stays in as that also should hurt Sanders.

Even though Biden will almost certainly lose a good bit of ground to Sanders on Tuesday, the key will be for him to do better than expected and thus keep Sanders’ margin within the sight of Biden. The weeks after will include a good number of states that Biden will have an excellent chance to win. Game on!
 
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GaWx said:
K and Pete dropping out should also help Biden more than Sanders. Hopefully, Warren stays in as that also should hurt Sanders.

Even though Biden will almost certainly lose a good bit of ground to Sanders on Tuesday, the key will be for him to do better than expected and thus keep Sanders’ margin within the sight of Biden. The weeks after will include a good number of states that Biden will have an excellent chance to win. Game on!
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Pocahonkey is an annoyance but not really a detriment to Sanders. She doesn’t carry enough support. Bloomberg is the biggie for Biden. He pulls voters directly from Biden. Klobuchar and Buttigieg dropping out will help Biden a little bit they don’t carry much support either.
 
Mike Bloomberg has purchased three minutes of prime-time TV Sunday to air a taped address on the coronavirus outbreak <just what we need... more of Bloomberg :rolleyes: let me guess, Orange Man bad?

you know all this money he's spending(primetime TV ain't cheap) could be going to something worthy...
 
Brent said:
Mike Bloomberg has purchased three minutes of prime-time TV Sunday to air a taped address on the coronavirus outbreak <just what we need... more of Bloomberg :rolleyes: let me guess, Orange Man bad?

you know all this money he's spending(primetime TV ain't cheap) could be going to something worthy...
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He thinks throwing his name in everyone's face is going to work, when it isn't. I can't even count the times I've seen a political ad and it's been his. I think the number is at 100% of all ads I see are him as of right now because it's on every video you watch, every TV ad session. Every ad I see makes me want him to get out of the race sooner and sooner just so I don't have to see the ads.
 
LithiaWx said:
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Polls are pretty much useless at this point when it involves Trump because his support base hangs the phone up. Just ask Hillary Clinton.

Dont get me wrong. I want Sanders to be your nominee because this country was built from the ground up on capitalism and America will not accept socialism of any flavor. If he is the nominee it will serve 2 purposes. His socialist agenda gets rejected front and center on the big stage and the Democrats will lose the only chamber they hold to boot.
 
LithiaWx said:
Warren, Klobuchar, and Buttigieg need to drop out. They got obliterated in back to back states. It’s over for them. I predict Klobuchar and Buttigieg drop out after Super Tuesday. Warren (Pocahonkey) is a stubborn loser who stay in because her ego is too much.
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How embarrassing would it be if Warren actually loses her home senate state to Sanders? If that’s not enough to drop out with the little bit of dignity you have left I don’t know what is. Same situation in MN with Klobauchar, but she actually has a slight lead there right now.
GaWx said:
K and Pete dropping out should also help Biden more than Sanders. Hopefully, Warren stays in as that also should hurt Sanders.

Even though Biden will almost certainly lose a good bit of ground to Sanders on Tuesday, the key will be for him to do better than expected and thus keep Sanders’ margin within the sight of Biden. The weeks after will include a good number of states that Biden will have an excellent chance to win. Game on!
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I don’t think Elizabeth Warren is bleeding votes from Bernie Sanders as much as you think she is. When the race first started yes, but since she’s gone more “moderate” in her campaign she’s sharing more votes with Biden and Pete. If she had of kept running the progressive campaign she started off doing we might have been talking about a front runner Warren instead of a front runner Sanders so if anything she’s likely helping Sanders than she’s hurting him. At this point it doesn’t matter if you’re not Sanders and Biden the race is over. Everyone else is just noise and irrelevant. Bloomberg is hilariously being a spoiler for Biden especially if he performs as well or better than expected. We’ll see in 2 days.
 
LithiaWx said:
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Meh Hillary did the same thing last election and we see how that worked out.....the problem Sanders has is the independents and moderates in the middle will not support him....once he gets in the debates it will be a bloodbath most middle class working Americans dont want to hear the ---- Sanders is going to be saying. Sanders platform is going to be raising taxes and free stuff, and the GOP will crush him with it.....fact is Sanders plan cost to much and there is no way to pay for it.....he can go after the 1% all he wants but America knows who really pays for this stuff time and time again when it is tried and that is the middle class.
 
Downeastnc said:
Meh Hillary did the same thing last election and we see how that worked out.....the problem Sanders has is the independents and moderates in the middle will not support him....once he gets in the debates it will be a bloodbath most middle class working Americans dont want to hear the poop Sanders is going to be saying. Sanders platform is going to be raising taxes and free stuff, and the GOP will crush him with it.....fact is Sanders plan cost to much and there is no way to pay for it.....he can go after the 1% all he wants but America knows who really pays for this stuff time and time again when it is tried and that is the middle class.
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That wasn't the case in Nevada, he beat everyone in votes from independents, was neck and neck with Biden for moderates, and beat everyone else with liberals.
www.cnn.com

Exit and entrance polls from the 2020 primaries and caucuses

View exit and entrance poll data from the 2020 primaries and caucuses.
www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
 
The Dems are toast either way. If Bernie wins its a slaughter. White House, House of Reps and Senate all to the GOP. Trump's base will be out in full force and Despite Bernie's legion of minions showing out the rest of the Democrats will stay at home. I dont think they can win the presidency no matter who they put up against Trump but the only way they can put up a fight to save the House is Biden or Bloomberg.
 
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