Ostrich December

[Myfrotho704_]

This is gonna be close

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Dang trough leaves to quick on gfs so the ULL moves into modified air

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

This is gonna be close View attachment 52957

Ugh swing and a miss

Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Dang trough leaves to quick on gfs so the ULL moves into modified air View attachment 52958View attachment 52959

That's brutal lol. I bet it's gonna get frigid right when the precip moves out

Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

It’ll make its own cold air. Workable

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Standard GFS progressive bias at play here I would assume

 

[Jessy89]

There could be a couple decent members on this run. It’s not all that far off really


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS gets some high elevation snow going late in the run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Standard GFS progressive bias at play here I would assume

That’s what I’m thinking, no other models really signal the trough to move out that fast and most of the time deeper troughs like that take longer to move out

 

[Jessy89]

Boone would see a nice snow on gfs out of that


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Just for argument’s sake, GFS has no idea what it wants to do with that LP

 

[Metwannabe]

Just for argument’s sake, GFS has no idea what it wants to do with that LPView attachment 52962

Reverse Miller B brought to you by the year 2020

 

[SimeonNC]

Reverse Miller B brought to you by the year 2020

What the hell kind of precip would that even produce?

Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk

 

[Tarheel1]

I'm curious @Webberweather53 and others, what are some good analogs to this upcoming pattern, besides potentially December 2018?

Winter 11-12

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Winter 11-12

C'mon, dude...... he was asking a serious question.

 

[JHS]

C'mon, dude...... he was asking a serious question.

Not sure we ever get another winter like 2011-2012. January and February were warm of course, but March was crazy. I do not think we'll see another March that warm anytime soon.

 

[Chazwin]

Not sure we ever get another winter like 2011-2012. January and February were warm of course, but March was crazy. I do not think we'll see another March that warm anytime soon.

That whole winter except for a few days in mid February was ridiculous... I actually remember reading somewhere that debris on the surface of the North Pacific from the Japan tsunami may have contributed to the very unusually mild winter for the eastern 2/3rds of the US...

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Just give me a mountain topper the first weekend in December! We’ll be traversing NewFound Gap that weekend! Snow capital of the south

 

[SD]

Winter 11-12

The cpc analogs are mildly interesting

 

[EmersonGA]

The cpc analogs are mildly interesting
View attachment 52970

Some winters with very cold periods in there.