Brent
Member
Finally the first freeze at the big airport although it's only about a week late
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
AJ1013
Member
59F and sunshine this morning. Finally!
That is absolutely foul.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Low in a textbook position for many but no high pressure = no cold.
Definitely, a good look on the 00z EPS and 06z GEFS. Right now we want to see that trough axis shift southward with more blocking over the top before we get a real snow signal, although this may just be due to model dispersion. Right now we’re seeing an Anafront look.
Miller A:
Anafront.
Miller A:
Anafront.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I am just glad we are getting cold shots and storm chances to talk about already.
Weak CAD look. Get the ridge over the GL stronger, and you’ve got a bigger deal.
Note this is the Miller-B composite.
Note this is the Miller-B composite.
SnowNiner
Member
What a beautiful Miller A map. True -NAO with a great +PNA and western ridge placement. Haven't seen that in a decade that I can recall. WAR has been with us for a very long time.
Well, it's December. Time to start watching the models for the next few weeks to look for pattern hints on the upcoming the winter. Late December into January is my gametime, now to the holiday is more like pregame. Let's see where we go from here. Step 1: Hopefully we can move the PV closer N Canada as opposed to Siberia.
NoSnowATL
Member
GFS has 2 big storms but no cold air. ?
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Yes late December and early January is normally pretty good for us! Troutman right up the road from me
Tilt the wave negatively just a little slower.
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NoSnowATL
Member
I’ve seen that ending before.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Man I love what you have done with these composites, looks beautiful. It’s actually really cool that we can look at a synoptic and planetary scale wave patterns and evaluate the types of winter storms we could see, going beyond the simpler questions of whether we may could see snow/ice or not. It’s good to see these composites standing up to model forecasts in real time even if those wintry solutions are fantasy
December look like it’s gonna produce 6-10 winter events for the mountains. Not bad. Very active pattern.
The Canadian ensembles continue to be very aggressive with their disturbing of the pv at 10mb with the gefs not quite as aggressive but still showing a nice warming and squeezing of the pv.
Obviously the models are less than ideal with their forecasts at 10mb but it's worth continuing to watch. At least in a disturbed off center state we can establish some HLB and cold shots instead of the polar buzzsaw we had last year
Obviously the models are less than ideal with their forecasts at 10mb but it's worth continuing to watch. At least in a disturbed off center state we can establish some HLB and cold shots instead of the polar buzzsaw we had last year
NoSnowATL
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist