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Ostrich December

Webberweather53 said:
The most significant bout of negative nao is lurking next week imo, but details regarding its duration and intensity remain to be seen. NAO predictability is so dependent on individual cyclonic wave breaks in the N Atlantic jet that are rarely if ever easily predictable beyond 5-6 days which adds a ton of uncertainty thereafter
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GaWx said:
Is this the infamous backpacker.....errr I mean....packbacker? Well, packbacker was backpacker somewhere for a few days when Cold Rain appeared as Rain Cold (at Talkweather??). I always remember him being a skeptic of cold and he often ended up right. Never bet against the pack! Paging @Rain Cold, what do you think?

A third in a row great winterlike evening here for walking with 38 F and near calm winds! Thank you, Mr. +PNA!
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Gay jokes in 2020? On a weatherforum...? Where are the mods on this?
 
GaWx said:
Is this the infamous backpacker.....errr I mean....packbacker? Well, packbacker was backpacker somewhere for a few days when Cold Rain appeared as Rain Cold (at Talkweather??). I always remember him being a skeptic of cold and he often ended up right. Never bet against the pack! Paging @Rain Cold, what do you think?

A third in a row great winterlike evening here for walking with 38 F and near calm winds! Thank you, Mr. +PNA!
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Yep, he usually ended up being right!
 
Allan just just posted this

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">It will likely be nothing. But models are trending a s/w further SW and an area of low pressure further west for Monday/Monday night. 6z ECMWF vs 00z ECMWF shown. 00z CMC was further west and 6z EPS members too. I am mildly intrigued. Lets keep an eye on it in the 12z cycle. <a href="https://t.co/6XXZOHnomz">pic.twitter.com/6XXZOHnomz</a></p>&mdash; Allan Huffman (@RaleighWx) <a href="">December 3, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Here go with more of these Euro modeled wind gust, @SD over/under idea? Oh never mind that's way too easy, under every time

 
KyloG said:
EPS with that Feb 2014 look. The EPS is showing a -NAO, atleast I would consider it a -NAO. Coupled with a -WPO it can get cold.

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I'm looking for patterns the next few weeks for winter clues. Persistence is real ya'll. And so far to me it seems the -NAO and perhaps the -AO to some extent wants to hang around. Maybe it's a mirage, it's early. But that's really good if it happens. I just don't want the pacific to fall apart in the process. If we can generally get a touch -AO/NAO this season (doesn't need to be strong) and an occasional +PNA I'll be happy. I really like that map. If I'm picky, shift the ridge 1000 miles east!

Kylo's here, must be the season!
 
I hope this has legs... about to dive into the dynamics.

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We need to score on this one. GFS is so bad after next week

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