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Ostrich December

disclaimer: model chasing will drive you insane. abort, before it's too late. -- cold chasing moisture never works on this side of the mountains. :(
True. But clippers have potential to drop a couple inches of snow
 
disclaimer: model chasing will drive you insane. abort, before it's too late. -- cold chasing moisture never works on this side of the mountains. :(
True, maybe for SC, but don’t rule out the classic setup for Roxboro. I’m hoping we can trend away from the Anafront look and can get a costal low before I tell myself we have a legitimate chance.
 
Geez this is the best signal in the SE in quite a while View attachment 58491View attachment 58492View attachment 58493

While I'm going to appreciate the cold coming next week, to me there doesn't seem like there's any strong signal for a winter storm east of the mountains. The ensembles show a storm signal for the mountains and west IMO. I'm patiently looking forward to trying to understand what pattern we're going to have in January. Hoping the pacific looks better than it does this morning.

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Sunday morning NE Georgia upstate sc western NC I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see wet snow before going over to rain. That departing high might hang on long enough to give people some early morning snow flakes. Something to watch but the GFS sorta has it


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The NAM sounding for the Triad for early Sunday has a very pronounced warm nose.

nam_2020121812_048_36.04--79.89.png
 
The NAM sounding for the Triad for early Sunday has a very pronounced warm nose.

nam_2020121812_048_36.04--79.89.png
Interestingly the 3K NAM does not have that stout warm nose.... in fact, with this sounding I might even squeeze out a couple of IPs at the onset

1608307993756.png
 
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