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Ostrich December

A 997mb coastal low would do it!

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These models showing analfrontal snow seem iffy to me. Has that ever actually worked out? I can’t recall a single time, at least IMBY. Maybe further west, but even there I don’t recall any specific instances?
I remember a number of times in the 90s where it happened. Nothing big but a quick inch or two.
 
I could see that being a realistic scenario where a low pops offshore along the front. But the anafrontal snow east of the mountains I don't buy. Maybe for western areas sure.
If a storm popped on the tail end of the front, it would be snow for many. But the odds of that are low at this time. Not seeing any real evidence of that kind of a scenario in the operational models so far.
 
I could see that being a realistic scenario where a low pops offshore along the front. But the anafrontal snow east of the mountains I don't buy. Maybe for western areas sure.
Yeah if it's just cold chasing moisture it's not (normally) going to happen for us east (of the) mountains folks. If we get something (low) that can throw moisture back in, just maybe. We at least have a slim hope.
 
If a storm popped on the tail end of the front, it would be snow for many. But the odds of that are low at this time. Not seeing any real evidence of that kind of a scenario in the operational models so far.
That is true. I'd say the 6z was close. Just a quick glance at it and it seemed to want to do that. But its one run. Hopefully today can bring some favorable trends.
 
That is true. I'd say the 6z was close. Just a quick glance at it and it seemed to want to do that. But its one run. Hopefully today can bring some favorable trends.

I noticed that too. Especially in the lower levels.


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