Maybe we can get some severe on Christmas Eve to knock out power before Christmas Day’s vodka cold. Merry Christmas, enjoy huddling wrapped in a blanket on Christmas morning. ?
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
They actually used a term called the “ golden track” for bigger snows here and that’s a low track from KC to CHI, these are things that are good to learn!
These models showing analfrontal snow seem iffy to me. Has that ever actually worked out? I can’t recall a single time, at least IMBY. Maybe further west, but even there I don’t recall any specific instances?
Does January 2018 count ? Brad called it a “cold chasing moisture” setup
Happens in Tennessee, can't give you precise examples though.. Maybe cyclogent will chime in on that.
Waiting for the SER everyone’s been talking about ??? everyone’s ---- on the pattern this year but it’s only gotten us really close and every week the “warmth” is pushed back. This years looking better than all the past IMO
Yeah, the mountains definitely hurt us east of the Apps with those scenarios, so at least you all don’t have to deal with that.
To be fair it has been warm, warm enough for a cold rain, LOL
I don’t remember the setup for that one exactly. I thought it was all snow at my parents’ house in Greensboro, though (I might be wrong, though)? I was living in Florida then, so I didn’t follow it super closely, though.
I don’t remember well, I know what it looked like at H5 but I don’t remember the sfc features well, I know it started out as rain and was like uh oh when it starting lasting then it changed over, and pretty much snow most of the event all day
RVD
Meteorology Student
Jan 17-18? That was a beefy clipper, no? An anafront is an actual cold front, with precipitation embedded behind the front. This happens when the front tilts back westard with height, giving an isentropic slope for air to rise along. I think, in the Carolinas at least, our woes with these are largely because the mountains make this structure near impossible to maintain. Surface cold front air in this sort of orientation will be stable (the backwards tilt implies a low level inversion near the surface front), which means it ain't making it over the mountains and the cold air aloft catches up.
Downeastnc
Member
I see what you did there lol....we have had a few decent anafrontal snows here but it is rare....
Remember November 2019? That was an Anafront that nobody but Roxboro got anything out of.Yeah if im not mistaken Jan 2019 there was a anafront setup popping up on models like the euro in NC, well we don’t remember that one so we know how that turned outdamn mountains haha
Imo only hope if your East of the mountains is having a weak wave/piece of energy setup along it to sorta in a way keep precipitation behind longer to maximize the cold/precip overlap, otherwise it’s basically a pipe dream East of the mountains
So what are those crazy Arctic fronts like Jan 2014, Snowjam in Atlanta or whatever they called it? What's the process there? The front itself is slow and has shortwaves moving along it?
I remember December 2017 in particular was a setup that works because there’s a secondary low that form. Basically the northern stream moves ahead of the southern stream, and the s/w can move into the colder air mass, rather than most Anafronts where there is an early phase.
At the end of the day, I just want this Baja wave to work it’s magic, I miss those types of setups, setup seem hard to get nowadays. 