Ostrich December

[Stephenb888]

This is going to change 100 times between now and then. But this will verify in the end lol

Anafront Gone Wild! Does that come on VHS or Blue Ray?

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Weatherbell’s maps say that’s mostly rain.
View attachment 58045

And nc gets shafted

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[Snowfan]

Final snowfall map.

 

[wxdaniel]

Wow.

Look what’s to the west


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[accu35]

Honestly, this is a great setup I'm seeing for Christmas. Call it whatever you want, but the gfs has been honking at this potential a few runs now.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Look what’s to the west


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Meh, the Aleutian low is going to crash into AK so that what’s leftover of the +PNA -EPO can flood the CONUS before that think can come on shore, verbatim.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Still a wicked run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

When was the last time we saw - dews

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Wicked Christmas front. Snow or no snow. Jimmy likes

 

[Brent]

Haha good one gfs

 

[Ollie Williams]

Wicked Christmas front. Snow or no snow. Jimmy likes View attachment 58055

Barney’s back!

 

[Ollie Williams]

Fantasy storm definitely went poof


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Meh, need more wave separation, a phase looks to be the most likely solution when looking at ensembles/other opps.

 

[RVD]

Clearly there's a signal on all the models today for a strong northern stream trough/TPV lobe to come swinging into the central/eastern US around Christmas. That alone is noteworthy and impressive. The details of a) the exact strength and position of said lobe, and b) all the other pieces on the periphery/in the southern stream (inc. the pesky WAR) seem to be quite up in the air at the moment. For 10 days out though it's a consistent signal, and a good one to have.

 

[AJ1013]

00z GFS has a high of 50F here on the 26th lol. We haven't seen a high that cold in a decade.

 

[BufordWX]

These are some cold highs for Christmas being put out by the GFS. Of course it will change though.

 

[RVD]

Meh, need more wave separation, a phase looks to be the most likely solution when looking at ensembles/other opps.
View attachment 58059
View attachment 58058

Yeah, the lack of ensemble members with snowier solutions does make me hesitate. It would be nice to see.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

? that dip though

 

[AJ1013]

Highs December 26th. Woah lol

 

[SETNwx]

? that dip thoughView attachment 58061

looks like David Lynch took a few tries at the model run in post production...

 

[Stephenb888]

Let’s be honest, if we saw more ensemble members with snowier solutions we would all be just as skeptical. If we see them we assume they will go away, if we don’t see them we assume they will never appear.

Yeah, the lack of ensemble members with snowier solutions does make me hesitate. It would be nice to see.