When the Pacific jet finally decides to relax/retract & the strong planetary-scale trough retrogrades from the Gulf of Alaska, that'll be when it gets legitimately cold in the east-central CONUS as the amount of cross-polar flow will start to increase into N America & heights begin to rise over NW N America w/ the mean trough pulling back towards the Aleutians.
We're still on track to see this occur sometime in early Nov. Hard to get into too much detail this far out, but the overall planetary-scale wave behavior is pointing towards an anomalously cooler stretch of weather along/east of the Rockies after Halloween.
And this is early November !!! Peak climo is February! Gravy!The control was soooo close to getting our first archive worthy model snow storm outside the mountains dang it !!! View attachment 93378View attachment 93379View attachment 93380View attachment 93381
Hey something actually taps at least a polar airmass and has a legitimate high with itThis ridge is poking all the way up towards Greenland! Talk about COLD! View attachment 93398
I’m glad you said it cause I woulda got the weenies ??
Don’t even LIE WEBB I know you see this blocking and your NC weather vibes are tingling! Come back! This is bad news bears for the SW
If we keep retrograding I’ll get slammed ?. Plus my snow climo in NM peaks near Christmas and into early Jan instead of late January/early Feb like NC, slightly better chance of snow in Nov hereDon’t even LIE WEBB I know you see this blocking and your NC weather vibes are tingling! Come back! This is bad news bears for the SW
Too bad the Euro sucks! I think it’s even behind the DGEX now!?You’re going to have a hard time telling me this ain’t COLD air View attachment 93397
Stick to the up north weather buddy! You’re already seeing fantasy snow on models .. smhToo bad the Euro sucks! I think it’s even behind the DGEX now!?
Things don't work like they used toJust a reminder that this happened on November 1st in 2014 in the armpit of the SE US.
Anything is possible! modernweeniemodernweeniemodernweenie
View attachment 93436
View attachment 93435
View attachment 93434
View attachment 93432
View attachment 93431
Yep this is how random and quick things can get going around here .. THATS what we do well is dynamicsJust a reminder that this happened on November 1st in 2014 in the armpit of the SE US.
Anything is possible! modernweeniemodernweeniemodernweenie
View attachment 93436
View attachment 93435
View attachment 93434
View attachment 93432
View attachment 93431
The fact that this is the last “legit” accumulating snow these places have seen since is lol.Things don't work like they used to
I Might need to fire up the thread over the 18z GFs and 12z EC control runThe fact that this is the last “legit” accumulating snow these places have seen since is lol.