Pattern October Thread

[cd2play]

Pretty simple , no true cold air to really tap in to even for a deep closed low …

Blah. . ?

 

[Arcc]

Euro improving the pacific each run after hr144 onward.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I miss Arctic highs coming out of Canada and suppressing lower pressure to our south with a deep H5 vortex over us moving on but that just doesn’t happen anymore, unless it happens to our west

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Mmm

 

[SD]

12z eps plumes should be a good time 40 degree spreads??

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I didn't know it came with cooler air behind it, haven't heard anything about that

People don’t like to talk about that stuff yet in here. That comes with time but it’s certainly there

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I expected much more cold from this deep closed off feature but it’s nothing notable at all, just a decent late season chill at best View attachment 93153View attachment 93154

A deep late season chill is all we should expect for OCTOBER lol y’all make it seem like it should be snowing or something here ?? this is perfect Halloween weather REJOICE

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I’m actually kind of shocked the euro is more excited about this thing than the Gfs usually that’s the other way around lol the upgrade might be on our side this year ? we will see what happy hour gets us

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

The power of blocking is a real and beautiful thing. This is the type of stuff that will save patterns in the winter time and shunt that SER let’s just hope it actually shows up this winter

 

[Myfrotho704_]

A deep late season chill is all we should expect for OCTOBER lol y’all make it seem like it should be snowing or something here ?? this is perfect Halloween weather REJOICE

I mean I’m just saying man that’s 530dm heights that stuff typically means deep cold, that’s a very anomalous trough for October normally that would bring anomalous cold not barely below normal to average

 

[Tarheel1]

12z eps plumes should be a good time 40 degree spreads??

Models flip flop a lot during big pattern changes! Big changes from run to run , as we transition from mega-torch, to above normal! ?

 

[Avalanche]

Things just dont work like they use to.

 

[SD]

I mean I’m just saying man that’s 530dm heights that stuff typically means deep cold, that’s a very anomalous trough for October normally that would bring anomalous cold not barely below normal to average

It's weird I glanced at the cpc analogs for D7 which was close to the euro. The years that were November were really cold the October years were cool but nothing eye popping

 

[NorthDFWwx]

FWD is now forecasting 88*F for Monday and Tuesday.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Bet this thing looks structured and photogenic in person

 

[Myfrotho704_]

First thread worthy severe setup of fall ? ?

 

[NorthDFWwx]

First thread worthy severe setup of fall ? ?
View attachment 93170

2nd thread worthy, unless you mean specifically for the SE...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

2nd thread worthy, unless you mean specifically for the SE...

For the SE

 

[NorthDFWwx]

DFW's average high by 10/28 (when the next "cool down" is currently projected) would be down to 74*F.

So even with temps possibly falling, we may still be above average by then, lol.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Okay Ohio…