Pattern October Thread

[Dewpoint Dan]

January wasn’t too bad but February was a warm hoot

March 2012 was really warm.

 

[Zander98al]

March 2012 was really warm.

2012 as a whole felt really warm lolm

 

[jackendrickwx]

Fro mentioned it. 3k is super excited about some boundary riders east of the Triangle tomorrow

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Guess it could be worse but the SPV is similar to 2011 View attachment 93102View attachment 93103

Actually it doesn't get any worse than that for my area at least. Only year on record that didn't even get a sleet pellet. Charlotte got a trace so I guess that could technically do worse. But even if a winter as bad as that one repeats at 500mb I suppose we could still sneak in a storm since no two winters are identical.

 

[smast16]

smast16 is team Euro this week!

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Look at that the cool weather HELPS drought! Lit.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Man that’s impressive ICON has highs in the mid 80s early next week and lows in the upper 60s/low 70s, pretty unusual for October, that’s 20-30 degrees AN at night for some areas

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[cd2play]

Man that’s impressive ICON has highs in the mid 80s early next week and lows in the upper 60s/low 70s, pretty unusual for October, that’s 20-30 degrees AN at night for some areas View attachment 93115View attachment 93116View attachment 93117

I’m on the edge with you!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

yes !!

 

[NoSnowATL]

The crazy thing about this and 11-12 was that in 11-12 we had a nor easter around Halloween too. Freaky

 

[Metwannabe]

I didn't know it came with cooler air behind it, haven't heard anything about that

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is insane. 850s around 17C is definitely supportive of temps in the upper 80s, especially with the winds out the west at the SFC and a sort of downsloping sort of look tacking on to temps aloft. Days prior it’s gonna be in the low 80s

 

[NoSnowATL]

I didn't know it came with cooler air behind it, haven't heard anything about that

Kirk nows all. I’m guessing cooler air these days is normal temps.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I didn't know it came with cooler air behind it, haven't heard anything about that

The cooler air behind it showing up on ensembles is basically average to -5F. Gotta love pacific fronts/troughs. Weaksauce

 

[tennessee storm]

The cooler air behind it showing up on ensembles is basically average to -5F. Gotta love pacific fronts/troughs. WeaksauceView attachment 93128View attachment 93129

No staying power either … looking at some guidance off 12z gfs. Wouldn’t surprise me see a area in 30 percent severe probs in spc mornings update. Southern plains region

 

[Metwannabe]

The cooler air behind it showing up on ensembles is basically average to -5F. Gotta love pacific fronts/troughs. WeaksauceView attachment 93128View attachment 93129

It's still cooler, this isn't Dec, Jan or Feb.... not sure what the expectation is for this time of the year. Is it above average, yes, is it down right warm yes, but you're not gonna get true arctic fronts rn with massive subfreezing temps. Heck average to a degree or two below is perfect walking weather, I've heard

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No staying power either … looking at some guidance off 12z gfs. Wouldn’t surprise me see a area in 30 percent severe probs in spc mornings update. Southern plains region

Still a pacific trough at hour 306

 

[SD]

It's still cooler, this isn't Dec, Jan or Feb.... not sure what the expectation is for this time of the year. Is it above average, yes, is it down right warm yes, but you're not gonna get true arctic fronts rn with massive subfreezing temps. Heck average to a degree or two below is perfect walking weather, I've heard

I'd like a frost but realistically we are probably just getting into the window for one

 

[Metwannabe]

I'd like a frost but realistically we are probably just getting into the window for one

I agree, I'm not cutting grass but one more time, just before the first frost. I think on average it's now to the end of month for first frost, but that's average, some years sooner, some years later.