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Pattern October Thread

The time to be concerned, imo, is if it's still like this in November. Either we go two ways. 1. We blowtorch all winter or 2. things change to where we can have a first half of winter pretty cold. If it's cold in November I wont get excited because it can easily flip back warm for December.
 
This storm needs a tornado warning. Also the storm just south of Birmingham has me a tad worried. Just saw a local meteorologist comment on it. It's spitting out thunder and lightening like a strobe light. Which is a little worrying. And not to mention the the boundary it's near. Screenshot_20211006-193955.png
 
CFS still look good as we roll into November. Im still thinking 10/20, give or take a day, we start evolving to seasonal normalcy.
 
Bro the flooding is ridiculous south of Birmingham. This storm is dropping buckets of rain and it's now moving also this thing keeps toying with spinning up. Making me stay away and watch it when I needs be in bed lolScreenshot_20211006-202610.pngScreenshot_20211006-202605.png
 
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Almost 5 inch hour rainfall rate and this storm is not moving. Where's the flash flood emergency. Already using boats in Hoover.

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LOL at FWD's forecast discussion...

000
FXUS64 KFWD 070504
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1204 AM CDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Friday/

There`s been a graphic circulating around the internet explaining
that Texas has 12 seasons instead of 4. Well, it may be on to
something. We moved past "still summer" and "false fall" and are
about to squarely move into "second summer" to close out the work

week. The cutoff low that kept us under dry and somewhat cool
northerly flow early this week is clearing out of the region and
paving the way for a mid-level ridge to nose over Texas from the
southwest. Stout warm/moist advection on the surface will also
increase in the coming days as a stagnant leeside low deepens to
our west. These factors will cause temperatures to steadily climb
over the next few days. Expect temperatures to run about 10
degrees above normal this afternoon, then about 10-15 degrees
above normal Friday morning and afternoon. The winds on Friday
will also increase, with most experiencing a south wind 10-15 mph
and occasional gusts as high as around 30 mph.

Bonnette

And this is the graphic they're referring to:

1633593213073.png
 
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