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Pattern October Thread

I’m just trying to think back to a time the SE as a whole was in significant drought/ constant ridges stuck in that type of pattern for months like I feel like the WEST deals with every other year now … I certainly remember a time in the summer one year when I was a kid where it would just never rain .. don’t see much of that anymore
When were you a kid? Lol The 00s had some serious droughts
 
With the amount you complain about it you deserve 0 inches

Nicky are you cranky this morning? It must get frustrating watching all those mirages dissappear as they come under 300 hrs. OR you ate some Cornflakes.

I keep receipts, and I'll be sure to remind you in February when you're complaining about your lack of cold or snow.
 
I wonder if we could be looking at some severe weather events around here starting in about a week. The 00z Euro was quite interesting.
 
I wonder if we could be looking at some severe weather events around here starting in about a week. The 00z Euro was quite interesting.
Even the SPC is somewhat interested in next Sunday.View attachment 91965

Zrwwr0kBE7aD.gif
 
Solid black woolly worm found by our kids last night. No strips just completely solid black. I've not seen one of those in years.
That means a solid cold winter from start to finish. No brown means no warm. Here's the official folk-lore....The longer the woolly bear's black bands, the longer, colder, snowier, and more severe the winter will be. Similarly, the wider the middle brown band is associated with a milder upcoming winter. The position of the longest dark bands supposedly indicates which part of winter will be coldest or hardest.
 
Feels like we’re continuing to push things back and keep this western trough/eastern ridge regime in place View attachment 91975

If this pattern maintains itself for just a few more days and verifies all the way, we may be able to start looking at the possibility of a top 3 on record warm October in some places, especially from much of the SE through the NE and into much of the Midwest.

In these 3 SE locations, here are the warmest Octobers on record (hopefully I didn't miss any when I looked at the list):

1. RDU:

69.3 1919

68.1 1941

67.4 2007

65.8 2019



2. ATL:

70.8 1919

69.8 1984

69.6 2016

69.4 1941



3. Nashville, TN:

68.2 1919

67.9 1947

67.8 1941

67.7 2016


ecmen_12_2mtpdp_na_dr-0015_0015 (2).png
 
If this pattern maintains itself for just a few more days and verifies all the way, we may be able to start looking at the possibility of a top 3 on record warm October in some places, especially from much of the SE through the NE and into much of the Midwest.

In these 3 SE locations, here are the warmest Octobers on record (hopefully I didn't miss any when I looked at the list):

1. RDU:

69.3 1919

68.1 1941

67.4 2007

65.8 2019



2. ATL:

70.8 1919

69.8 1984

69.6 2016

69.4 1941



3. Nashville, TN:

68.2 1919

67.9 1947

67.8 1941

67.7 2016


View attachment 91980
Just using RDU ... seen worse for winter plots ...

cd98.180.247.146.275.16.41.55.prcp.png
 
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