From a spatial standpoint, that’s extremely impressive across eastern North America how widespread those AN temps are and something that just isn’t that common, it’s not always about the smaller picture
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Pattern October Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Wait a minute, that weak trough at the GLs might make things interesting, might try to wavebreak here 
More Nw flow that will never happen, I don’t remember the last time modeled NW flow storms has happened 
That’s a monstrous western trough, that would introduce plains severe wx 
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Man, can’t wait to see that SE us ridge on the EPS/control past 240 
Brent
Member
88 Friday from the NWS and 90 next Saturday on the TWC app
It better be short lived lol ?
At least it rained... Some of my Dallas friends said it did not down there
Nah yeah rip the NE but the SE chillin I feel like we’ve really been spared by the big heat waves this year they have just bubbled above us
GEFS tries retrogression past mid month 
Yeah right.
We finally got a couple 15 minute heavy downpours yesterday and just a little while ago today here.
But apparently, thunderstorms just don't happen in Addison any more.
We gonna warm no doubt and with a lack of polar or arctic air and typical airmass moderation when/if we get a decent sfc wedge into the area on the front end of the ridge we might get back to average for a day or 2 before a solid 8-10 AN period. If we get the jet retraction and retrogression we might get into an EC trough in the d14-21 but the potential hyperactive typhoon period upcoming makes me wonder if the models are rushing it or mishandling the evolution. I'm still watching the NAtl over the next few days to see if we start wave breaking and -NAOing. As a whole though if you want fall like air this isn't what you want to see at least in the short term.
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I do though believe that we eventually get out of this but conservatively it's probably the last 10 days of the month and we might actually go BN
FFC talking about a lot of rain for Georgia folks this week.
JHS
Member
Not that it will happen, but this discussion remotely reminds me of how things went in GA in September 2009.
Definitely interesting seeing what the Gfs is trying to do in regards to keeping low pressure around the SE coast while the ride tries to get going .. we still warm for a while but if that low pressure can stick around long enough it might be able to buy us enough time to get to a good cold front through
Oct 18th last year! 
Can you show 240-280 or so that’s when I think that trough pushes through the East I don’t think we stay locked in this pattern at least
Nothing special
