It'll change in 6 hours but she's a beaut Clark the D7-10 evolution around AK teetered on going into the dumps
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Pattern Novemburrr
- Thread starter SD
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L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
@Webberweather53 will not approve
He gets rain we all win
smast16
Member
Why you gotta bring up old bad memories
The end of the Canadian was headed to something similar.
The NW Canada/AK/Aleutian evolution is scary its way too easy to screw this up
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
tennessee storm
Member
La Niña last into spring. Good damn chance be dry .
You'd have to think we tank the western trough and get something into your area by years end.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Monstrous arctic air mass building over NW Canada & Alaska near the end of next week thanks to the -WPO/Bering Sea Ridge funneling in air from Siberia. Bigger question is who gets it in late Nov?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
?? ?
And to think people prefer ninos over sitting on pins and needles during ninas wondering whether or not we can mute the SER and get the cold in
smast16
Member
We all know it's going to end up East of the Appalachians. lol
NoSnowATL
Member
Gefs mean looks much more like the 12z Canadian than the gfs.
LickWx
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Pretty classic Siberian Express pattern on the 12z GEFS w/ a ridge over the Bering Strait & Chukchi Sea (-WPO). Totally up in the air where all this cold air in NW Canada & Alaska eventually ends up by Thanksgiving
Probably gets dumped out west and when it does, keep the gloating to a minimum and I'll keep the index finger off the ban button ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Have to agree w/ your general sentiment here. This modeled pattern is teetering on the edge between major failure & pants explosion. What you really need is an aptly timed thin/tall ridge along the west coast/+PNA; it's not uncommon to see NWP models never see these coming until you're inside the medium range. Too much GOA/AK trough (which suppresses the SE US ridge) & all the cold air will remain in the NW Territories + Alaska.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Looks great to me! ??
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I honestly can't think of too many times I've seen a cut-off blocking high being explicitly forecast on an ensemble mean at day 10.
76 now
This is going to give CAD a big boost those high pressures are going to be juicy
Building up the cold in the source region while we take a break from the cold ??
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This Euro run ought to be interesting. Raising the heights even more over the Arctic & Bering Sea.
Euro mostly SER
Avalanche
Member
I'll take it........for now.
BufordWX
Member
And here it comes.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
EPS also is explicitly forecasting a cut-off blocking high near the Bering Straits around day 9-10. Pretty remarkable for both ensembles to pick this up so early
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The control is going crazy in Alaska & the Yukon. -22°C anomalies. Lol
Gimme them high pressures coming from this region
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If we can amp the waves & shorten the wavelengths a little in the N Pacific/shift the west coast ridge a little more west, this is great pattern for me to get snow.
I bet everyone that reads this is on-board until the last few words of this post
Here let me try…
If we can get a little less amped waves and lengthen the wavelengths a bit in the N pacific as well as shift that ridge a bit east on the west coast this would be a good way to get some snow in the SE
Wow that was fun