Your odds are higher then all but one person on here to get snow around Christmas.I don't want snow in Jan or Feb. I want snow in December because there's nothing better than snow around the holidays !
Wouldn’t a SE ridge make more lake cutters? That would be an awesome pattern!Copy and paste View attachment 94657View attachment 94658
It’s the southeast so pretty much plenty to be worried about every year if you want a decent snow or two.Pl
Plenty to worry about this year …
It’s funny that long range W coast ridges are mirages, but 10 day out W coast troughs here nailed with amazing accuracy! ?
If my memory is correct the pattern from about 11/20 until just before New Years was a deep eastern trough and waves of cold air that culminated in that Arctic outbreak around Christmas.Most of Dec of 1989 was cold.
First week December was torchy hereIf my memory is correct the pattern from about 11/20 until just before New Years was a deep eastern trough and waves of cold air that culminated in that Arctic outbreak around Christmas.
Was you lighting that pipe alot back then Bruce for it to be torchy???First week December was torchy here
It was longer than a week. Parts of the cumberland river had ice on them. At least 2 weeks of very cold weather that december. But no snow.1989 had that brutal December week . After that it was winter over for midsouth pretty much
Oh wait a flizzard did show upAnyone who says they are not interested in this second piece of cold push has to be lying .. seeing icon and CMC jump on it a bit as being an area to watch for storm potential .. the tilt has come back west some and it almost looks like it was to hook as storm close to our coast it’s Awfully close here
Old CMC vs new with 500 vort energy
this is just interesting to watch I don’t think we’re seeing a snow storm or anything of the sorts but it’s got classic signs to atleast watch it
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Lol the day 10 CMC is about as reliable as extended DGEX snow mapsAnyone who says they are not interested in this second piece of cold push has to be lying .. seeing icon and CMC jump on it a bit as being an area to watch for storm potential .. the tilt has come back west some and it almost looks like it was to hook as storm close to our coast it’s Awfully close here
Old CMC vs new with 500 vort energy
this is just interesting to watch I don’t think we’re seeing a snow storm or anything of the sorts but it’s got classic signs to atleast watch it
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Dgex see what happened that model lolLol the day 10 CMC is about as reliable as extended DGEX snow maps
Honestly any model 10+ days out is silly to look at with seriousness IMOLol the day 10 CMC is about as reliable as extended DGEX snow maps
It’s 6 days out..come on Webb you are better than thisLol the day 10 CMC is about as reliable as extended DGEX snow maps
OP euro is back to back freezes for us next week the mean is slightly warmer. Looks like about half of my plants and most of my grass got fried last week anyway. With how dry it's been lately plants are just looking for a reason to go dormantCouple or so more days of warmth and then a nice stretch of Fall weather on tap. Looks like a real good shot of that first frost/freeze for many next week that missed out thus far
Leaves have really started changing color around here I’m noticingOP euro is back to back freezes for us next week the mean is slightly warmer. Looks like about half of my plants and most of my grass got fried last week anyway. With how dry it's been lately plants are just looking for a reason to go dormant
Yep, RDU has still missed out while all places just to the west are now "out of the growing season". We may see frost/freeze warnings for Raleigh eastward this weekend.Couple or so more days of warmth and then a nice stretch of Fall weather on tap. Looks like a real good shot of that first frost/freeze for many next week that missed out thus far
Imma lean on the cool side, low dews, cool days, light winds, maximum radiational cooling.... bet the models miss lows by a few degrees.OP euro is back to back freezes for us next week the mean is slightly warmer. Looks like about half of my plants and most of my grass got fried last week anyway. With how dry it's been lately plants are just looking for a reason to go dormant
Sunday morning has some sneaky potential to get cold if we can kill the wind off with dews 28-30. Better chance of Sunday morning being near/just below freezing in Al/Ms/Ga closer to the weak sfc highImma lean on the cool side, low dews, cool days, light winds, maximum radiational cooling.... bet the models miss lows by a few degrees.
Shorts in Iowa on Thanksgiving, wow!!
Better hurry up! Already a week behind, had the ground white here last week.I’m late! View attachment 94681
Came here to say this. Might as well go for 80 if it’s gone be this warm, why not.72 at RDU rn, 3 degree warmer than this time yesterday . It got to 77 there yesterday perhaps a chance at 80 today.
I theorize it has to do with more tree cover in wake county . Despite being more urban I think we have more tree cover than harnett county for example which is more clear cut farms .Y’all weren’t kidding about the Wake Co rainforest huhView attachment 94685
Yeah I figured it wouldn’t hold but you always got to watch those little systems diving in from the north for some mischiefI'm guessing last night's 0z CMC run some on here were getting excited about was a little out in left field (as usual).
I wouldn't get my hopes up for anything more than some NW flow upslope snow showers in the mountains early next week.
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Omg hour 372 op vs ensemble battleView attachment 94682
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GFS ensembles is looking at the OP in disbelief. Only a slight difference.