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Pattern Novemburrr

Interesting contrast for my last few walks vs just 2 weeks or so ago. Much lower volume of night time cricket sounds. The 40s of the last few days have finally knocked them back.
 
Most of Dec of 1989 was cold.
If my memory is correct the pattern from about 11/20 until just before New Years was a deep eastern trough and waves of cold air that culminated in that Arctic outbreak around Christmas.
 
Anyone who says they are not interested in this second piece of cold push has to be lying .. seeing icon and CMC jump on it a bit as being an area to watch for storm potential .. the tilt has come back west some and it almost looks like it was to hook as storm close to our coast it’s Awfully close here

Old CMC vs new with 500 vort energy

this is just interesting to watch I don’t think we’re seeing a snow storm or anything of the sorts but it’s got classic signs to atleast watch it
A4FA8B43-BA7B-4CB4-81E4-5C3BEE611F38.jpegD0DF5E79-336A-41F9-8F5C-5E5BBDB52546.jpegE9E1D5FE-7F68-4BD7-9C5B-D2BF92166ABD.jpeg
 
Anyone who says they are not interested in this second piece of cold push has to be lying .. seeing icon and CMC jump on it a bit as being an area to watch for storm potential .. the tilt has come back west some and it almost looks like it was to hook as storm close to our coast it’s Awfully close here

Old CMC vs new with 500 vort energy

this is just interesting to watch I don’t think we’re seeing a snow storm or anything of the sorts but it’s got classic signs to atleast watch it
View attachment 94669View attachment 94670View attachment 94671
Oh wait a flizzard did show up E8CAE09B-C11D-43C1-B0EF-5777AF60B08B.jpeg1618B69E-00F9-495C-B8A2-EBFF147EB36A.jpeg
 
Anyone who says they are not interested in this second piece of cold push has to be lying .. seeing icon and CMC jump on it a bit as being an area to watch for storm potential .. the tilt has come back west some and it almost looks like it was to hook as storm close to our coast it’s Awfully close here

Old CMC vs new with 500 vort energy

this is just interesting to watch I don’t think we’re seeing a snow storm or anything of the sorts but it’s got classic signs to atleast watch it
View attachment 94669View attachment 94670View attachment 94671
Lol the day 10 CMC is about as reliable as extended DGEX snow maps
 
Couple or so more days of warmth and then a nice stretch of Fall weather on tap. Looks like a real good shot of that first frost/freeze for many next week that missed out thus far
OP euro is back to back freezes for us next week the mean is slightly warmer. Looks like about half of my plants and most of my grass got fried last week anyway. With how dry it's been lately plants are just looking for a reason to go dormant
 
OP euro is back to back freezes for us next week the mean is slightly warmer. Looks like about half of my plants and most of my grass got fried last week anyway. With how dry it's been lately plants are just looking for a reason to go dormant
Leaves have really started changing color around here I’m noticing
 
Couple or so more days of warmth and then a nice stretch of Fall weather on tap. Looks like a real good shot of that first frost/freeze for many next week that missed out thus far
Yep, RDU has still missed out while all places just to the west are now "out of the growing season". We may see frost/freeze warnings for Raleigh eastward this weekend.
 
OP euro is back to back freezes for us next week the mean is slightly warmer. Looks like about half of my plants and most of my grass got fried last week anyway. With how dry it's been lately plants are just looking for a reason to go dormant
Imma lean on the cool side, low dews, cool days, light winds, maximum radiational cooling.... bet the models miss lows by a few degrees.
 
Imma lean on the cool side, low dews, cool days, light winds, maximum radiational cooling.... bet the models miss lows by a few degrees.
Sunday morning has some sneaky potential to get cold if we can kill the wind off with dews 28-30. Better chance of Sunday morning being near/just below freezing in Al/Ms/Ga closer to the weak sfc high
 
72 at RDU rn, 3 degree warmer than this time yesterday . It got to 77 there yesterday perhaps a chance at 80 today.
Came here to say this. Might as well go for 80 if it’s gone be this warm, why not.
Record is 81
 
I'm guessing last night's 0z CMC run some on here were getting excited about was a little out in left field (as usual).

I wouldn't get my hopes up for anything more than some NW flow upslope snow showers in the mountains early next week.

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Yeah I figured it wouldn’t hold but you always got to watch those little systems diving in from the north for some mischief
 
It’s interesting seeing the models pick up on continued disturbances coming out of the north west and diving down to continue a trough over the east and helping to maintain a ridge out west I would assume that flips at some point
 
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