Avalanche
Member
Not necessarily so, you need to shave 2 degrees off those.mid-winter preview right here.
Not necessarily so, you need to shave 2 degrees off those.mid-winter preview right here.
You must not have seen the 6z Gfs lmaoWe are getting into November pretty good , were is the snow cover at?
Lol. Not yet. Usually pay more attention. To 12z. 0z suits long range especiallyYou must not have seen the 6z Gfs lmao
This is wild dude View attachment 94404
That winter 11. 12 was a top analog entering this winter … could be spot on afraidThis is developing into another winter where there will be no cold air available if/when the trough sets up. Of course if that vortex keeps sitting over Alaska we’re going to have zonal flow anyway. Just like 111-12.
It’s only November. We good.This is developing into another winter where there will be no cold air available if/when the trough sets up. Of course if that vortex keeps sitting over Alaska we’re going to have zonal flow anyway. Just like 111-12.
And the following spring and summer was utterly torrid. #lordpleasenotagain.That winter 11. 12 was a top analog entering this winter … could be spot on afraid
Had that one big severe wx outbreak March 2012 Midwest … pretty much after that was cool n wet boringAnd the following spring and summer was utterly torrid. #lordpleasenotagain.
I have a feeling even with the EC ridge like above we will end up getting a lot of CAD. Especially with that look.I mean this blocking is just ridiculous this is as anomalous as it gets .. too bad it’s long range fantasy land … although it’s been doing this for the past couple days so you gotta wonder if there’s some sort of big time block that sets up mid to late month View attachment 94620View attachment 94619
Yes, like where’s the Cold Air, Dam itI have a feeling even with the EC ridge like above we will end up getting a lot of CAD. Especially with that look.
We honestly need to have a warm next couple of months because you know the pattern will change up eventually and maybe we can time it right with January and February.This remind me of the late 2010s where if we get the TPV/trough under it in the wrong spot, we get a dumpster fire pattern, for exView attachment 94630View attachment 94629
Yeah the last several years with a cold November has interestingly had warm December’s/months after, makes sense tho retrogression takes time and it might seem like it changes right as a new month is beginningWe honestly need to have a warm next couple of months because you know the pattern will change up eventually and maybe we can time it right with January and February.
Yeah, we only need to see cold maps bc we all know its warm now."This back and forth, hot/cold, show only maps I like post are getting old real quick" -Meanager
I’m talking about a different range with a different pattern so yeah"This back and forth, hot/cold, show only maps I like post are getting old real quick" -Meanager
Yeah but this we are entering second season for severe weather also… so really need see warm maps also as systems start to set up in a warm pattern . Which I look at all models anyways when the models run.Yeah, we only need to see cold maps bc we all know its warm now.
I think our only hope is if we can get some blocking this year. Usually I focus more on the PNA but I think this year we will also need to see some strong negative NAO episodes. 1996 is a good example year we can pull for...Gfs looked La Niña
I don't want snow in Jan or Feb. I want snow in December because there's nothing better than snow around the holidays !We honestly need to have a warm next couple of months because you know the pattern will change up eventually and maybe we can time it right with January and February.
Get the ridge stuck in AK and we might be. To me the bigger key is drawing the tpv into Canada at this stage versus unloading huge cold shots into the region even of we SER for a while. Sometimes the short term loss is better for the long term gainView attachment 94634
Us still waiting patiently in April 2022
That's too funny...... You guys always play this worry game every year.Us still waiting patiently in April 2022
I can’t believe people pay him for that!Typical hype train from Judah lol
Same dude that said a few weeks ago winter might be over before it starts or something to the effect. Weird it wasn't called hype thenI can’t believe people pay him for that!
Plenty to worry about this year …That's too funny...... You guys always play this worry game every year.