Pattern Novemburrr

[Webberweather53]

Some hints of cold air damming in the pattern around Nov 8-12, really depends on how much stream separation we see east of the Rockies.

If CAD were to materialize, it could be of concern for the mountains or far western Piedmont of NC into VA if enough cold air enters the picture. Simply too early in the calendar year for ice much elsewhere.

 

[weatherfide]

Euro had a nice cold rain for Atlanta on 11/7. Too bad it wasn't 10 degrees colder through the column. Still a good sign that the cold front pulls through mid-week, though.

 

[iGRXY]

Decent cold shot next week on all the models ranging from Tuesday - Wednesday when it pushes through. Only the GFS is delayed in it.

 

[smast16]

The NC/VA border is a beautiful thing View attachment 93931

I think they drew the borders and interstates based on weather. Lets put I-85 right on the line where it always snows and doesn't snow.

 

[Arcc]

[insert rolleyes here]

 

[Tarheel1]

Lmilk run incoming..

 

[tennessee storm]

[insert rolleyes here]

View attachment 93944

to bad not enough cold air just yet...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Month later and this is a snowstorm

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh my

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ALEET ALEET snow outside the mountains this run !

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

ALEET ALEET snow outside the mountains this run ! View attachment 93952

Looks like I will be doing some chasing..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Verbatim That’s probably wet snow for parts of the Piedmont of NC given the flatness of the wave not introducing much WAA, BL temps being the only issue

 

[Nomanslandva]

I was going to post this morning that if you took the cold of the 0z icon and the storm on the CMC, you might just have something. Well, looks like the ICON did it all by itself. Too funny.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

oh my modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie That’s a good look I can’t stop Looking

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Verbatim That’s probably wet snow for parts of the Piedmont of NC given the flatness of the wave not introducing much WAA, BL temps being the only issue View attachment 93953View attachment 93954View attachment 93955

Time of day would also have to be in our favor but hey this time frame has peaked other models interest.. snow? Probably not but a cold rain sure .. hope trends could continue in this direction but I’m not getting my hopes up especially this early .. I’ll do that in January when it really hurts

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If you bring that trough in Canada down a little more with a colder airmass that’s a possible early season snow, that southern stream wave placement in Texas is great

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

If you bring that trough in Canada down a little more with deeper/colder airmass that’s a early season snow, that southern stream wave placement in Texas is great View attachment 93959

I’ve noticed this that on models if that vortex in Canada can dip that little finger southwest it would definitely have to be a perfect scenario for an early season snow… hmmmm don’t reel me in like this FRO

 

[Tarheel1]

Verbatim That’s probably wet snow for parts of the Piedmont of NC given the flatness of the wave not introducing much WAA, BL temps being the only issue View attachment 93953View attachment 93954View attachment 93955

Roxboro looks good!

 

[SD]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s not gonna work on the GFS, there’s some northern stream Energy on the Icon around the NE which effectively removes any sort of retreat of the cold air source, and effectively “presses” down on the system (note the NS energy around Maine
Meanwhile the GFs is flatter/faster and doesn’t have much of a press and weak N/S energy near the lakes, and tries to build heights off the SE coast allowing
Minimal retreat of the marginal cold air source, likely mostly meaning cold rain it’s awesome to track something this early..