LickWx
Member
These models and their overdoing on rain . Wonder how dews verified , think they are higher than initially forecast .Interesting. I think I am going to be wrong (or already am) on my prediction for sleet reports.
These models and their overdoing on rain . Wonder how dews verified , think they are higher than initially forecast .Interesting. I think I am going to be wrong (or already am) on my prediction for sleet reports.
If we can get any actually steady rain over the next couple of hours 50 probably won't happen50s today . Yesterday was the first sub 60 . November typically sees the first sub 50 day as well , will it be today or not ? We will see!
All that urbanization in Buies CreekHHI strikes again (Harnett Heat Island)
48 now at RDU. Seems the heaviest rain is to the sw and seIf we can get any actually steady rain over the next couple of hours 50 probably won't happen
Well this is definitely going to be my first sub 50 day… the high was 47 at midnight and I’m socked in now with steady rain, 44 degrees and a NNE wind50s today . Yesterday was the first sub 60 . November typically sees the first sub 50 day as well , will it be today or not ? We will see!
Yeah union county looks like it’s getting a ton of rain . Seems to be filling in here as well but the heaviest rain is to the southWell this is definitely going to be my first sub 50 day… the high was 47 at midnight and I’m socked in now with steady rain, 44 degrees and a NNE wind
Yeah and it’s been a good soaking rain which judging by the drought monitor, is probably needed. The other good thing is that with this rain then lows between 30-34 the next several nights there’s a good chance most of the leaves will be coming off my trees in the next week or so… get them dropped so I can go ahead and blow them down to the road.Yeah union county looks like it’s getting a ton of rain . Seems to be filling in here as well but the heaviest rain is to the south
I’ve been waiting too, there’s a maple tree that has grown some branches over the driveway and it scrapes the top of my car each morning . Waiting for it to lose its leaves so I can trim those branches off .Yeah and it’s been a good soaking rain which judging by the drought monitor, is probably needed. The other good thing is that with this rain then lows between 30-34 the next several nights there’s a good chance most of the leaves will be coming off my trees in the next week or so… get them dropped so I can go ahead and blow them down to the road.
Freezing rain is a self limiting processI'm getting the heaviest shower so far and my temp actually has jumped 1 degree
Interesting it took a whole year it seems to actually get a drought that could be problematic if conditions continued.. rain today will be nice but not enough .. now the coastal will certainly be a nice gulp for Eastern portions of this area and certainly could help them.. Charlotte could be the new hot spot once that’s over. Regardless don’t see drought being a major problem like it hasn’t been for a while but still would like to see at least one rain producer every week to keep this in check.New drought monitorView attachment 94306
The Charlotte area is getting a very good soaking rain today which absolutely should help. Keep in mind with the trees now dropping leaves, they are not soaking up nearly as much water and most of the rainfall is soaking in straight to the water table.Interesting it took a whole year it seems to actually get a drought that could be problematic if conditions continued.. rain today will be nice but not enough .. now the coastal will certainly be a nice gulp for Eastern portions of this area and certainly could help them.. Charlotte could be the new hot spot once that’s over. Regardless don’t see drought being a major problem like it hasn’t been for a while but still would like to see at least one rain producer every week to keep this in check.
Generally when I have pictures that are too big I text them to myself save the photo that comes through in the text to my phone and upload that one, it compresses it enough to get under the file size limitJust got back from Newfound Gap. Had a slushy inch up there. Would post pics but it says the file is too big. Any idea how to post pics on here?
Newfound Gap off of Hwy 441 is always a great (if not best) place to catch snow. That location, if ever is a rain/snow mix, is usually snow where other areas are rain. IMHO, that is the best place for snow in NC, outside of Mt Mitchell, Beech/Sugar, and Highlands.Just got back from Newfound Gap. Had a slushy inch up there. Would post pics but it says the file is too big. Any idea how to post pics on here?
Screenshot off of FB, then take a screenshot of that! If that doesn’t work, screenshot of the screenshots screenshot! Then bam!Generally when I have pictures that are too big I text them to myself save the photo that comes through in the text to my phone and upload that one, it compresses it enough to get under the file size limit
Are they riding up and over that ridge down towards the eastern plains?Quite the wave train on the gfs that just beats the western ridge to death
They do initially but as the western ridge takes a beating and the flow flattens things get more zonalAre they riding up and over that ridge down towards the eastern plains?
Definitely like seeing cold building up in those areas in November. With Niña climo there should definitely be opportunities to tap that cold air for the east coast from late November onQuite the wave train on the gfs that just beats the western ridge to death.
Pulling that vortex into NW Canada late in the run going to get really cold in Ak/NW/Central Canada by the end of the run
This tpv consolidation near the pole may end up being a big player in the late part of November into December. If that can be enticed into Canada my goodnessDefinitely like seeing cold building up in those areas in November. With Niña climo there should definitely be opportunities to tap that cold air for the east coast from late November on
Larry, Not sayin' its gonna happen, but the G'Ville Sun is saying mid-50's on Sat ...Due to the modeled Miller A/coastal low, look at the -24 to -28 F anomalies for early Saturday afternoon in much of S GA and N FL:
View attachment 94316
Bamwx just mentioned the gefs came in much colder and a big pattern alignment in Pacific
This tpv consolidation near the pole may end up being a big player in the late part of November into December. If that can be enticed into Canada my goodnessView attachment 94325
Where did you take this?View attachment 94326
5000 feet, 36 degrees… at 4500, 42! Pretty fun stuff!