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Pattern Novemburrr

SD, I have a question. If the mjo stays in phases 4-6 in winter, which are warm phases, will we want to see tremendous HLB and weaker pv or is that possible in those mjo phases?
It's possible and could offset the bad phases at least temporarily.
 
Fro is shivering in his boots right now. GFS happy hour brought a legit set up that could bring a snow potential in the medium range along with continued shots of cold. Plus weeklies showing an active second half of November but at that point I assume you’ll be a snow weenie and will welcome the pattern.. hope this stuff can stay or I will be the one quaking in my boots
 
Fro is shivering in his boots right now. GFS happy hour brought a legit set up that could bring a snow potential in the medium range along with continued shots of cold. Plus weeklies showing an active second half of November but at that point I assume you’ll be a snow weenie and will welcome the pattern.. hope this stuff can stay or I will be the one quaking in my boots
Hour 282 is medium range ? Get a load of this guys ???
 
SD, I have a question. If the mjo stays in phases 4-6 in winter, which are warm phases, will we want to see tremendous HLB and weaker pv or is that possible in those mjo phases?
Mjo hangs around those phases this winter to go along a moderate Nina at least , it will be going against the grain to get a lot of true artic air in place this winter across se.
 
We just went 0 to 100 real quick with this coastal theres going to be some flooding in some of these enhanced bands that develop .. possible thread worthy maybe
 
Deformation band as it departs … what a winter storm this could have been View attachment 94381
Just about the right placement for one of our winter storms on that image too. Missing the Triangle just west.

Seriously, this one will probably end up east. In the dead of winter, it would track right up through the coastal plain.
 
Sorry for the mass posts but I just feel like this is going a bit under the radar here obviously we can’t expect winds this high for such a large area but then again this consensus on all models to bring a gusty day to most is intriguing EC54DF2F-64A6-4E48-BD09-8D5727FAD12B.jpeg
 
Was just about to post this .. like DO WHAT?

I mean its over done, the wind gust maps almost always are, however some of the latest modeling suggest it may not be that over done and some gust well into the 40's certainly seems doable if not likely if the trend for a 995ish low keep up and it tracks close enough.
 
12z this Saturday barely misses a blizzard for western NC. Temps below freezing with heavy rain and wind for Georgia up to Charlotte east with developing bomb offshore.
 
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