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Pattern Novemburrr

Not quite a true mega frost but it'll doView attachment 94406
Better than me, but I do have some ice on the car tops and frost in the open (to sky) areas. / I don't think RDU got down to freezing. It will be interesting to see if we break the latest first freeze date this year (currently Dec 4th).
 
Nice. Im over in Bostic and the range is off to my west. I know Ropper hollow. I gain access via this road when I run at the park. Got a link for that wx station?
Yes I'll give it to you when I get home to my computer and I did see snow yesterday the snow line went as low as 2600 ft.
 
HRRR disagrees.


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Yeah 3k is probably high end but have to believe the NW side of the precip shield is more expansive than the models have like always. Getting the super mega rain like the 3k and to a lesser extent the euro has depends on if the 850mb/700mb lows track more N to NNE closer to the coast or if they angle more NE away from the coast.
 
Even the HRRR is getting excited with winds .. think the coast at least has to worry about this View attachment 94409
This one has some potential to get windy with the sfc ridge axis nosed down the piedmont if the center of the sfc low rides up the coast. 1020-24 in the piedmont 999-1004 along the coast gives us a decent gradient
 
Any speed up in timing will result in bands of sleet/snow mix for the MTN counties of northern NC, eastern TN and south west VA. Also timing could favor some initial sleet to cold rain again for the same areas that just saw it outside of the mountain counties.
 
The high was 55 and the low was 50 yesterday. Not much gradient.

Might still be in the 40s right now outside.
 
Next weekend will be interesting. A surface low traveling in a favorable spot for some snow in Alabama. Doesn't look like temperatures will cooperate. And if it's a closed low is still up in the air it seems.
 
Next weekend will be interesting. A surface low traveling in a favorable spot for some snow in Alabama. Doesn't look like temperatures will cooperate. And if it's a closed low is still up in the air it seems.
I wouldn't be terribly surprised to see a few snow/sleet/graupel reports outside of the mountains late next week of we keep this deep deep trough look
 
I wouldn't be terribly surprised to see a few snow/sleet/graupel reports outside of the mountains late next week of we keep this deep deep trough look
I'd like to see more moisture on the northwest quadrant. If this thing drops in pressure more and is closed it'll happen. Very intriguing. I'f this would happen in January or February We'd be talking a bout a big snow event.
 
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