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Pattern Novemburrr

NickyBGuarantee said:
Our Dewpoint’s at least stay under 60 from here on out for the most part and once that cold shot moves through we will dip into the 20s Dewpoint wise .. glad we finally got rid of humidity around here
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I only like humidity when Im surrounded by palm trees, golden tans, and a packed cooler!!!
 
I was just looking at something that showed the 11-15 day forecast from the GEFS/EPS as of five days ago (10/23) for 11/2-6 and it had mainly near normal in the E 2/3 of the US. Now that same period of 11/2-6 has moved into the 6-10 day period and it is much colder. So, the models didn’t do a good job of seeing this cold that far in advance. The cold has also slipped back in time somewhat.
 
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GaWx said:
I was just looking at something that showed the 11-15 day forecast from the GEFS/EPS as of five days ago (10/23) for 11/2-6 and it had mainly near normal in the E 2/3 of the US. Now that same period of 11/2-6 has moved into the 6-10 day period and it is much colder. So, the models didn’t do a good job of seeing this cold that far in advance. The cold has also slipped back in time somewhat.
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Interesting I would’ve never thought with the amount of warm talk that’s spoken about in here ?
 
00z ICON with an impressive cold push! Earlier than expected. Tuesday evening front moves through and Wednesday and Thursday stay in the low 50s for high (some will stay in the 40s closer to the mountains) and ICON also wants to bring our first freeze Wednesday night but if not then Thursday night has an even better chance. Average first freeze is the 5th so looks like we will hit this mark with ease if the ICON is correct.
 
Interestingly, after perhaps a small moderation to not as cold, the 0Z GEFS now brings in a 2nd Canadian high 11/8-10 into the E US. Is this the start of a new trend toward a delay in the end of the chill? It sure wouldn't be the first time. For example, note that post I just did about how much colder 11/2-6 is now looking vs how it looked as of just 5 days ago.
 
5 day mean days 5-10.
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