Pattern Novemburrr

[Somosdel]

This. Any forecast or pattern beyond 10 days is just water cooler talk.

 

[pcbjr]

This. Any forecast or pattern beyond 10 days is just water cooler talk.

3 days realistically; 5 days in a dream ... ?

 

[Avalanche]

This. Any forecast or pattern beyond 10 days is just water cooler talk.

Any forecast beyond 10 days is snow talk.

 

[Avalanche]

That’s what they said about November

True, but it seems like our last few Nov's were colder and Dec's were warmer. Of course, history has no bearing on right now.

 

[pcbjr]

Any forecast beyond 10 days is snow talk.

 

[GaWx]

View attachment 95436



View attachment 95437

Sometimes the cartoons are right and sometimes wrong as they are just guidance. Makes for interesting wx forecasting discussions.

I love this time of year no matter the wx! And it doesn't get much better than today in November. Plus I'm loving the chilly month. That chilly Bleakies run from a couple of weeks ago was spot on! Hoping for a brisk stroll later! Had a good one last evening.

 

[Jon]

Started out around 30F this morning, headed for 75F this afternoon. Certainly feels like it already. These 45F diurnal spreads out here are insane

76 & 36 in Charlotte Friday


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[pcbjr]

Sometimes the cartoons are right and sometimes wrong. Makes for interesting wx forecasting discussions.

I love this time of year no matter the wx! And it doesn't get much better than today in November. Hoping for a brisk stroll later! Had a good one last evening.

Ditto and did you read my PM about the frontal passage yesterday? Fabulous ...

... and cartoons and maps are just that ... not the Gospel ... ?‍

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

It was pretty nippy outside this morning when I went walking. Should've worn a hat.

The high was 59 and the low was 33.

 

[Tarheel1]

I think tomorrow we hit 50-52, the AFD mentions single digits, if winds die down, so could be around 40-45 degree range from Sunday high to Monday mornings low?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Horrific start to December

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Horrific start to DecemberView attachment 95442View attachment 95445

You could have just zoomed in and screenshotted those AK anomalies and I could have drawn the rest of the map

 

[J.C.]

This could be another one of those winters where KATL doesn’t get its first official freeze until mid December.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

The angles of these troughs do look interesting but still eh

 

[Webberweather53]

Models were in pretty good agreement on early Dec til late yesterday. Now I wonder who's gonna blink first, literally the exact opposite patterns being depicted over N America on the GEFS & EPS.

View attachment 95377


View attachment 95378

Looks like the GEFS is gonna win this battle vs the EPS (again). Hope it stays warm enough for me to play golf around Christmas

 

[Webberweather53]

Horrific start to DecemberView attachment 95442View attachment 95445

The last 10 Decembers in a row have been either above average or blowtorch warm. Even a week of warmth like that alone may be enough on its own to keep our temps above avg, even if we turn cold later. Womppppp

 

[Six Mile Wx]

Ridiculously Resilient Ridge - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This sucks I just wonder if it’ll snow more then a inch eventually

 

[SD]

Good to see the eps at least stop the run to run lowering of heights in the pac with the 0z run but overall not a great pattern

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Good to see the eps at least stop the run to run lowering of heights in the pac with the 0z run but overall not a great pattern

Very ugly all around to end off the EPS, solid +AO, +NAO and just this awkward looking Canadian ridge and -PNA, then a weakening Aleutian ridge, pretty much the complete opposite of what we want snow wise