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Pattern November Knock-Out

We'll see if it holds, at least we *may have something to track winter weather wise. If anything, it's the right pattern for something wintry to happen.

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JLL1973 said:
is something wrong with this gfs run? it has frigid temps here low temps ive never seen before in november
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It's likely over done as the GFS tends to do that. However, it's a La Nina year, and Nina's can make crazy things happen on the table.
Of course, use models with caution, but be aware.

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GaWx said:
If wx hobbyists can't get excited to see a modeled airmass like this 12Z airmass in only late Nov., then I don't know what will excite them right now.
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Id like to see it not dive straight into TX first, that gives it plenty of time to moderate before it gets here, but just being nit picky, as it's a ways off! And compared to last two winters, I'm tickled pink! :)
 
Somebody post some damn pictures!!
 
Tarheel1 said:
Somebody post some damn pictures!!
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LOL!

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whatalife said:
CMC says move along. Nothing to see here.


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whatalife said:
LOL!

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That's a good setup for texas, Arkansas and to the ne. Too bad its fantasy . I have a higher chance of my wife telling me she is pregnant tonight vs the 12z gfs verifying
 
Anything before hr. 240 has a greater chance at verifying vs anything after hr 240. At this point, there is a chance of some system coming about in the 23-26 time frame, give or take. There is enough evidence of that there will be a system.
As we all know it, it's way too early to put out specifics.

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Night and day - GFS and Euro ... hang on to your hats, folks, it's got the potential to get a bit windy in here ... :oops:

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ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_fh240-240.gif
 
Thanks for posting pics! God this setups where it snows almost to Brownesville TX, while we SE ridge, are sure painful to watch!! But have a much better chance of happening , than a pure EC trough! It's gonna hurt!
 
Wow!! 12zgfs. Ok, i just woke up because i work nights, and just looked at the models. I know alot is having a hard time buying this run, but as i was saying earlier to someone on here, a storm signal, point between shortly after thanksgiving to the first week of December. As much as the gfs has been on this cold outbreak, i can see something of some sort coming. If anyone was wondering why that gfs run was so cold, its because it was picking up on the snow cover. Heres to hoping, Bring it on.
 
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