We need to direct folks to this image in the winter when they ask what we need
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Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I mean if we were even 2-3 weeks from now I'd be all in on this
lexxnchloe
Member
Brent
Member
It's almost time to be disappointed by the EPS again 
Euro suite is still holding strong for a widespread rain event Wednesday/Thursday
really quite good model agreement on at least the presence of this big ol slug of a trough. interested to see where it goes over the next few days when the biggest changes would likely be made
Textbook pattern for cold. Really is pretty to look at. Hope we see some repeats in the winter. The blocking is amazing, but that PNA is also very nice.
Haha yes! I literally was asking my colleagues when did that happen?! I swear it wasn't there yesterday!
Funny thing is that the old Euro Control run is now the Op from what I've read. Op goes out to hr144 now with 06z/18z runs and out to 15 day with 00z/12z runs. We have the AI run out to 15 days now too of course for all 4 runs
GolfishardIknowit70
Member
I just hope we can see repeats of a favorable pattern for winter to give us a chance at snow and ice
Brent
Member
The rain should end from west to east Monday night and into
Tuesday as the upper support shifts northeast of the area, but
another system will quickly follow on its heels mid week. The
evolution of this system is the one to watch, with a few model
solutions supporting some potential for winter weather mid to late
week. Plenty of uncertainty regarding that system`s evolution
continue to exist, but it bears watching.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
We are really flirting with something incredible
accu35
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Yeah, a few more tweets and it could be something wonderful
Still no frost, winds stayed up all night, bottomed out at 39.6
Yeah when the low dews were still up near RIC when I went to bed I figured we were cooked
Kinda similar to last Januarys cold period pattern wise 
What is the all time latest freeze at RDU? Could we make a run at it?
Looks like 11/28 (Update: looks like this was in 2009 not 2008 like their chart shows if you hover over it in the tool) is the all-time latest first freeze at RDU. (Source: https://products.climate.ncsu.edu/climate/freeze-explorer/)
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Brent
Member
pretty good model agreement on fairly widespread 0.8-1.2"+ tomorrow/tomorrow night for a good chunk of NC/S VA. TN, northern half of GA, much of AL/MS as well. orographic help could produce some 3-4"+ spots in WNC, esp the smokies & NC/SC border escarpment.
Love to see a -NAO block that retrogrades into a Central/western Canada ridge and dumps BN heights to our NE 
gefs trying to get interesting after the big cold trough. That footprint of high pressure out of AK is classic 
One day we will get a look similar to this with a legitimate consolidated southern wave and 50/50 low and it will snow again.
NCSNOW
Member
First high temp low-mid 40 day with moisture inbound tomorrow.
Ole Country Roads gonna get white!
Ole Country Roads gonna get white!
Cool watching the GFS get even more amplified with the longwave pattern next week. Worth noting the EC AI looks like it had wet snow from a upper level low across the mid portions of the SE 
Brent
Member
The middle to latter part
of next week continues to be fraught with uncertainty given
plenty of inconsistencies from run-to-run and from model-to-model
on the eventual location of the closed low forecast to develop in
the central or eastern United States. Winter weather is still on
the table for the latter part of next week, depending on where the
low sets up - although at this point, impactful winter weather
chances in eastern Oklahoma and northwest/west central Arkansas
appear very low.
of next week continues to be fraught with uncertainty given
plenty of inconsistencies from run-to-run and from model-to-model
on the eventual location of the closed low forecast to develop in
the central or eastern United States. Winter weather is still on
the table for the latter part of next week, depending on where the
low sets up - although at this point, impactful winter weather
chances in eastern Oklahoma and northwest/west central Arkansas
appear very low.
Other than snow there is not much better than a good rain after a drought. 51.6 with .54” in the bucket. Rainy night in Georgia.
It’s over boys. On to the next pattern head fake 
Until the next model run! I respect your input but model to model run when they can’t get the current days correct is as asinine . It’s like anyone believing the past few with blocking and colder temps!
I know, I was just joking lol. But the flashbacks to previous western dumps is playing in my head with that run
Hard not to with the past few years man! I’m picking up what your putting down!
Avalanche
Member
Hopefully we end the month not too cold. A lot of people haven’t stocked up on their firewood, and the energy costs of heating cripples the poor. It’s best we stay the course we’re on. Plenty of time for cold in January.
.06”
Looks like more headed your way. I was hoping for a half inch out of this, looks like maybe .1 or .2 if I’m lucky now.
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Brent
Member
I guess it was about time
Any severe on the frontal?
GFS has a slug of tropical moisture in the GOM which seemingly robs instability and moisture, CMC to me looks far more interesting for severe wx