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Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥

seems like the thought of an idea is there for a front around 200ish hours. euro has a biggun. check back in 5 days
 
What about us? Can we make it to December freezeless?

Rdu maybe but rural areas might do it next weekend. Then I wouldn't be surprised to see some type of weak -nao type setup post 11/20 that would couple with a pretty bad WC pattern but could get in just enough low dews point air to give us a more widespread freeze.

This upcoming pattern of drop cold west then spread across the US isn't going to be blistering cold but it's going to have at least short stints of near to slightly below
 
Rdu maybe but rural areas might do it next weekend. Then I wouldn't be surprised to see some type of weak -nao type setup post 11/20 that would couple with a pretty bad WC pattern but could get in just enough low dews point air to give us a more widespread freeze
Crisp air is due indeed, it’s November I should be sunny 60s and cold nights… I can’t wear any winter clothes yet
 
Rdu maybe but rural areas might do it next weekend. Then I wouldn't be surprised to see some type of weak -nao type setup post 11/20 that would couple with a pretty bad WC pattern but could get in just enough low dews point air to give us a more widespread freeze.

This upcoming pattern of drop cold west then spread across the US isn't going to be blistering cold but it's going to have at least short stints of near to slightly below
I think a recurving typhoon has something to do with it
 
James Spann:

STAGNANT PATTERN: The upper air pattern has been “stuck” for a while. Cold upper trough over the western U.S. with below average tempeartures and snow for some places. The eastern half of the nation is under an upper ridge with temperatures above average and little rain.

We do see a cooldown in in 7-10 days, but nothing that cold for November, and no sign of a freeze.

The latest CPC outlook through November 20 continues the trend of above average temperatures across the Deep South. The pattern will flip, but it looks like it will be a while before it happens.
 
James Spann:

STAGNANT PATTERN: The upper air pattern has been “stuck” for a while. Cold upper trough over the western U.S. with below average tempeartures and snow for some places. The eastern half of the nation is under an upper ridge with temperatures above average and little rain.

We do see a cooldown in in 7-10 days, but nothing that cold for November, and no sign of a freeze.

The latest CPC outlook through November 20 continues the trend of above average temperatures across the Deep South. The pattern will flip, but it looks like it will be a while before it happens.
Sure it will flip. Around the first part
March as usual lol lately
 
solid look for weekend CAD again. becomes sort of hybrid/in situ sunday for more favored immediate piedmont regions. euro is a bit more excited about saturday than gfs and it results in a slightly cooler solution. either way guidance is cooler than nws (by a couple-few deg) right now.
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some nice dews on the latest gfs. high clouds overspreading the area into sat eve thru sun as well on the gfs. looking like a much more agreeable 2-day stretch of wx for CAD regions. unfortunately the rest of everyone is AN, sorry
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lil wishy washy, but good trend last couple runs. 12z gfs closer to that nice euro from yesterday
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Mid Month pattern flip is right on schedule. Not wagering duration one way or the other. But it will be noticed. Mainly due to the fact of the extreme we've been sitting under prior to.
May get the best chance of rain, in my area, ahead of the cold front a week from Friday. It appears to be the strongest chance for an organized, moderate rain event. It's getting very dry here.
 
Have had enough, Moisture/Sprinkles to tamp down the dust.. Dampen the ground..
(Here on the Coast)
CURRENT TEMP 71F

Overcast, Muggy/Humid currently..
Pressure 30.11 in
Visibility 8 miles
Clouds Mostly Cloudy
Dew Point 70 F
Humidity 89 %
Rainfall .001 inches

Mid~60's for forecast lows..
I'll take it..
 
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