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Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥

Im actually worried we won't get but a few flurries up in Beech Mountain this year.
 
Yeah I'm definitely going to Breckenridge in December but I also have a backup plan for Lake Tahoe end of January. I'm not taking any chances this year after that mess last year
might be a good year for Tahoe...might go in late JAN as well.
 
Usually I'm excited about winter and the possibilities but this year I just don't feel that excitement.

Cant remember the last time I saw flakes here but its been close to if not longer than 2 years now, certainly does not look like anything even remotely winter like in Nov....crazy that our first frost might happen mid Nov. and if that misses it might be even later.
 
Cant remember the last time I saw flakes here but its been close to if not longer than 2 years now, certainly does not look like anything even remotely winter like in Nov....crazy that our first frost might happen mid Nov. and if that misses it might be even later.
I remember I think it was Nov 2000 we had half an inch of snow here on the ground.
 
Near the end of the GFS model run at mid month, I actually see low temperatures in the mid thirties for two consecutive days. That might produce the first frost of the season for the area in live in.
 
At least the pattern is starting to show a little more variability in the modeling after the 10th. Still not a pattern that's going to crush the SER out and drop a big arctic blast into the SE but it's one where it may get suppressed enough to bring in cooler air and the first frost/freeze to many around the 15th. It also may be a pattern that brings a widespread rain setup to much of the region. Overall it's still pretty mediocre if you want anything besides AN and dry
 
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