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Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥

Ron Burgundy said:
What’s the potential downstream impact of that? Asking for a friend
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Troughs dropping into the US. Unfortunately there's a delicate balance for our quadrant of the US here related to the amplitude and orientation of the ridge out west. It at least puts us in the game for cold and low end winter weather chances but being honest it's a pattern that can fail spectacularly
 
Stevo24 said:
I’ll be honest I’m so tired of hearing snowpack to the north. It never seems to help
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That is because we can not get a snowpack in the right place. Get 1 foot plus down from VA on to the north, east of the mountains, put a 1040+ MB high over upstate NY and a low that tracks from south of Louisiana to off the Carolina coast in Jan and see what happens. I think many on here would love the result.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Helped a lot in those 2022 setups. Made the CAD events a bit colder, you could see it’s effects on the 2M temp maps
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In my very first meteorology course at NCSU my Synoptics professor (and future grad school advisor) Dr. Gary Lackmann (who has authored and guided many NC winter weather research projects) talked about a snow pack to the north being one of the first key ingredients he looked for. At the time, I was a bit skeptical but have come to staunchly agree that it is beneficial and logical to want as much frozen ground as possible between us and a very distant source of cold air. It isn’t required, but it is beneficial and often present during our frozen precipitation events.
 
What has happened can happen again.

Georgia Weather History for November 19th​

In 2000, an unusually early winter storm brought sleet and snow to much of north Georgia, particularly the northeast Georgia mountains. Amounts of 1 to 3 inches were common but Fannin County received 4 inches! This event caused numerous automobile accidents, particularly in Floyd County, where bridges and overpasses became icy and hazardous during the morning hours.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
What has happened can happen again.

Georgia Weather History for November 19th​

In 2000, an unusually early winter storm brought sleet and snow to much of north Georgia, particularly the northeast Georgia mountains. Amounts of 1 to 3 inches were common but Fannin County received 4 inches! This event caused numerous automobile accidents, particularly in Floyd County, where bridges and overpasses became icy and hazardous during the morning hours.
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The following month, December 2000, was pretty snowy as well.
 
J.C. said:
KATL is +8.4 for the month through 18 days. Between no real cold air anytime soon, few cloudy days, and absurdly in accurate overnight lows, they have to be making a run at the record.
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Been the same up here in the Midwest. Finally the source region is getting cold. Should filter your way in due time!


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JHS said:
That is because we can not get a snowpack in the right place. Get 1 foot plus down from VA on to the north, east of the mountains, put a 1040+ MB high over upstate NY and a low that tracks from south of Louisiana to off the Carolina coast in Jan and see what happens. I think many on here would love the result.
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CAD is always stronger with a good snowpack to our northeast. I believe the 2014 winter storm was a good example of that.
 
OPs looking very meh tonight so no eye candy there, but something to watch that they print is little pieces of energy rounding the ridge and messing things up. Been something that has ruined patterns in the past
 
Love how the 6z GFS gets the rain out of here next wed, Turkey day is dry but cold. So Cold Turkey is on the menu, then it has a close call Saturday as we close Nov out.

Edit: Checked the 6Z Euro. It is also Dry and Cold Turkey Day. It's not a white Thanksgiving, buts its a win in my book!

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NCSNOW said:
Love how the 6z GFS gets the rain out of here next wed, Turkey day is dry but cold. So Cold Turkey is on the menu, then it has a close call Saturday as we close Nov out.

Edit: Checked the 6Z Euro. It is also Dry and Cold Turkey Day. It's not a white Thanksgiving, buts its a win in my book!

View attachment 154405
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Yeah, the models have been back and forth on if it's going to be warm or cold for Thanksgiving. This morning/overnight they're (mostly) signaling cold(er).
 
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J.C. said:
KATL is +8.4 for the month through 18 days. Between no real cold air anytime soon, few cloudy days, and absurdly in accurate overnight lows, they have to be making a run at the record.
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RDU is +7.9F. It’s been noticeably warm so I am almost surprised it wasn’t even warmer.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
What has happened can happen again.

Georgia Weather History for November 19th​

In 2000, an unusually early winter storm brought sleet and snow to much of north Georgia, particularly the northeast Georgia mountains. Amounts of 1 to 3 inches were common but Fannin County received 4 inches! This event caused numerous automobile accidents, particularly in Floyd County, where bridges and overpasses became icy and hazardous during the morning hours.
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I remember this in GSO. Caused some power outages as I don’t believe all the leaves were even off yet (I know our front yard Bradford Pear’s certainly weren’t, at least).

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