Pattern November 2024 💤 🔥

[SD]

That type of block across Canada would likely produce some extreme/quirky weather across the conus, throw in a potential tropical system and you have a mess.

 

[LukeBarrette]

With this amount of high latitude blocking showing up on ensembles there is going to be some wild solutions from models.

 

[LukeBarrette]

That type of block across Canada would likely produce some extreme/quirky weather across the conus, throw in a potential tropical system and you have a mess.

thinking the same thing at the same time haha

 

[SD]

I think it's just the mjo going into colder phases for November if I was to guess

Looks very phases 1-2 progression but a much stronger version than expected. Good thing is if we are getting some decent pattern reflections vs mjo expected results the pattern around Christmas into early January may be one to start zeroing in on

 

[GolfishardIknowit70]

With this amount of high latitude blocking showing up on ensembles there is going to be some wild solutions from models.

Euro and it's family will figure it out for us lol

 

[GolfishardIknowit70]

Looks very phases 1-2 progression but a much stronger version than expected. Good thing is if we are getting some decent pattern reflections vs mjo expected results the pattern around Christmas into early January may be one to start zeroing in on

Isn't 4-6 phases cold this time year though?

 

[J.C.]

1.31in in last 42 days here. Got sprinkles this morning to wet the sand.

0.00” in the past 42 days.

 

[SD]

Isn't 4-6 phases cold this time year though?

1-6 are normal to below with 2 & 5 having the stringest BN looks. The 1-2 transition is the big east Canada ridge retrigrading into a central Canada ridge with a +nao similar to the gfs. Given that this is a slower mjo pass I'm not certain we see the big pna really cold east typical of p5 since we will be later in the month when we get there and there is such a big contrast between fall p5 and winter p5.

 

[Mitch West]

 

[LukeBarrette]

1-6 are normal to below with 2 & 5 having the stringest BN looks. The 1-2 transition is the big east Canada ridge retrigrading into a central Canada ridge with a +nao similar to the gfs. Given that this is a slower mjo pass I'm not certain we see the big pna really cold east typical of p5 since we will be later in the month when we get there and there is such a big contrast between fall p5 and winter p5.

Anyone know where I can find the data/charts for this information

 

[jackendrickwx]

View attachment 154093

GEFS been pretty consistent. See where EPS goes at 12z

 

[SD]

Anyone know where I can find the data/charts for this information

MJO.html

 

[SD]

MJO.html

@jackendrickwx why fail?

 

[jackendrickwx]

@jackendrickwx why fail?

ima be honest I didn’t realize it was a link bc the text is the same color and I figured you were doing a sarcastic response, this is way funnier tho

 

[SD]

ima be honest I didn’t realize it was a link bc the text is the same color and I figured you were doing a sarcastic response, this is way funnier tho

I noticed that after I posted it lol

 

[Ron Burgundy]

0.00” in the past 42 days.

Picked up 0.05” from Drizzlepocalypse 2024 over the weekend

 

[SD]

Euro suite is really hell bent on making the Thursday system a widespread rain event

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Playacar Forecast: Hot

 

[LukeBarrette]

My interest is peaked let’s see how it evolves. So happy to be doing model analysis again

 

[LukeBarrette]

View attachment 154100
View attachment 154101
My interest is peaked let’s see how it evolves. So happy to be doing model analysis again

Just from a synoptic standpoint this is incredible