• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern November 2023

.25” for the event which gives me .43” for November following .32” for October. I had 1.4” for September. My last rain over .75” was August 29th. Flash drought is a real thing.
 
Panovich mentioned that Charlotte got more rain yesterday than in the previous combined eighty days.
Thought we were doing better than we were today is the first rain of more than a T or .01 in 30 days and more than we have had combined since ophelia about 60 days ago. 1.76 so far with maybe another .1-.15 to go
 
.25” for the event which gives me .43” for November following .32” for October. I had 1.4” for September. My last rain over .75” was August 29th. Flash drought is a real thing.
I ended up with .7” thanks to the last minute line that formed. 1.5” for the month.
 
I got 2.70 inches here near Lake Wheeler in Wake County. This system was an overperformer and if this any indication of how El Nino is going to bring the goods, I am in store for a wet and if the cold air will cooperate, snowy winter. If this had been a snow event it would have been epic.
 
This horrible dry slot continues for the next 7-10 days. fml

View attachment 138099
gfs_apcpn_us_64.png
 

That supposed to be helpful?
It says from Nov6 through Dec6, we are already at Nov 22 and my specific area has a little over 1" rain for the last month. As I just posted, we expect no rain for the next 10 days. Everyone knows hr 240+, esp out towards 300+ isn't super reliable for predicting anything.

We are also still very much in D2 Severe Drought.
Screenshot at 2023-11-22 10-28-15.png
 
That supposed to be helpful?
It says from Nov6 through Dec6, we are already at Nov 22 and my specific area has a little over 1" rain for the last month. As I just posted, we expect no rain for the next 10 days. Everyone knows hr 240+, esp out towards 300+ isn't super reliable for predicting anything.

We are also still very much in D2 Severe Drought.
View attachment 138100
No that's the latest run starting today, just goes out to 384 not 270. We def need more rain and we will in the coming weeks.
 
No that's the latest run starting today, just goes out to 384 not 270. We def need more rain and we will in the coming weeks.
Here's GFS 6z from 6 to 312, which shows zero rain in our area:
gfs_apcpn_seus_fh6-312.gif

And here's further out into fantasy land on the same run.

Everybody here knows how useless GFS is in this time range. I've seen rain like this in the 300+ hr range on GFS pretty regularly over the past month and precious little came to fruition. Why should it be different now?

gfs_apcpn_seus_fh312-384.gif
 
Back
Top