Until the Canadian is right, I have to dismiss these cold runs it’s spitting out in the 8-10 day range to be outliers. Remember, last week at this time it was saying a very cold Thanksgiving and then just the other day it was saying full on Arctic blast coming out of Thanksgiving weekend.Watch for a Rogue flake above 3000 ft tomorrow SW NC. Novelty as 540 cool pool washes out overhead passing by.
Then all eyes turn to next Tuesday through the end of the week. Find some SS energy and its not a stretch to score. All 3 Ops have cold air and the GFS has some energy cutting underneath us on Tues, while the Euro has it Thursday. Canadian is stupid cold late next week at least above our heads.
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Pattern November 2023
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
The truth is these models really just suck. We don’t know what’s gonna happen till it’s here.
JHS
Member
Unless something changes this system is not dropping 2+ amounts anywhere and many of us may get .50 or less. The GFS says this is it for the next 2 weeks as well. Hopefully we get a real pattern change soon.
No rain here yet either, I could see what was happening last night too. We aren’t getting any rain out of this thing. Maybe areas east will.
.7 so far and much more to come. Looks like 1.5 should be achieved
WXinCanton
Member
Dry slot city, roads were dry earlier lol
NCSNOW
Member
Wedge has locked in here solid now. Will be stuck in mid 40s remainder of daylight part of the day guessing we get a windshift at the surface latter this evening, then back to NW wind sunrise early morning Wed
W
WSW
Guest
Some really nice rains on the radar in the Commonwealth. NWS says widespread 1.5 to 2.5 inches. Very much needed especially in the western half of the state.
Yeah, not really surprised when looking at the radar last night. The storms later this afternoon will probably form east of us as well. This was all a nice thought anyways.
NCSNOW
Member
Yea I agree. But all 3 give a nice slap of canadian air in here middle next week. I just posted the most sexy looking one for reference. Nice blocking does the trick.
NCSNOW
Member
W
WSW
Guest
Lots of 33-35 degree temps on the northern Blue Ridge west of IAD with rain falling. Mostly between 1500 and 2400' asl out there. Those neighborhoods from Mount Weather/Bluemont to Blue Mountain to Linden.
tractor girl
Member
We have a chance at some strong storms this afternoon:
sounding
sounding
JHS
Member
You are in a nice spot for this. Central NC into VA should do well with this as the low cranks up later. Not so much for much of northern GA into upstate SC.
Broken024
Member
The old bird man special
I was just looking at this. Honestly not far off here from something very interesting. The problem is I just don’t see anything to push cold enough air in.
HRRR is finally picking up on the fact that there won't be any organized line of storms until later in the day, way east. This was a non event for our area. Hopefully areas closer to Chattanooga were able to get some rain. I'm just so disgusted with our local mets and weather service. The audacity to forecast 1 to 2" of rain when not one single model was showing that. The RAP last night depicted what happened perfectly.
What RAP song were you listening to?