That pattern the next week oof good luck. Trough axis trying to load to the west will excited the SER but numerous cold vortices rolling across the US/Can border well keep pressing fronts south. Easy to either be 72 or 38 in that pattern and see why the eps members have snow blips.
Not out of the question. CPC 8-14 day analogs has Dec 4, 2002 lol (3rd image). I believe Fro mentioned it the other dayThats some barking at 240. No bite though.
Not sure I buy that east-based Nino/punt Dec forecast. The Pacific is cooling nicely along south American coast and the warmth is showing signs of shifting to the central Pacific. Don't write off any part of this winter just yet... regardless of what the warmist crowd says.Looking at all the ops/ensembles latest.
Big Pattern Flip is undeniably coming: So long to the drought. We will start having the opposite evolve beginning next week. Expect wet to occur at a minimum every 3-5 days.
Another take away is the interior Northeast is going straight to winter /white Ground. No shortage of Noreasters out through 360, the first one will be sending howling winds through the alleys of NYC Masseys parade Turkey Day. They better have some good rope on hand on the backside of a 980mb deepening.
Euro suite is colder verse the American last week of Nov. Like Fro shows above. We will start Met winter Normal to Below Normal first few days, then see where she goes from there. Only argument I have to the east based Nino forecast of warm first half is I hate punting half of winter. I have read a few things, speculation that the east based strong nino, may not exactly behave like one due to a couple of flies in the ointment. Lets hope so. Ill be honest, as a winter wx lover, I hate this pattern the worst/ fear it the most. More than La Ninas. It is traditionally a recipe for straight on flooding of the conus with pacific origin air. Be interesting to watch unfold
Yep. That’s been trend. Models start out showing something more rain wise, only dries up as we get closer range … still banking on a dry December and above average temps … after first week January we see changed