That might also lead to some severe weather ahead of the cold front. Also, the 12z CMC does put freezing temperatures down to the western Florida panhandle on Thanksgiving morning while the GFS continues to show more of a glancing shot of cold for the southeast with temperatures about 10 degrees warmer than the CMC.
Keeping an eye on this one. A short 4 hour trip to Kingsport, TN might be in order.
Virginia/West Virginia special. This could be an area that really cashes in this Winter.
This is the map we want all Winter.
Are we wasting a good one in December if so?12z GEFS says this is the pattern we start December with:
Very wide spread in the ensembles still though. The GEFS mean has temperatures about 12 degrees warmer at the same time and the 12z EURO is pretty much in line with the GEFS
It depends on how far south you might be. It's so hard to score in the deep south, but those along the I-85 corridor can certainly score in December. I'd rather get on the scoreboard early and gamble with house money the rest of the winter.
If anyone in the southeast outside of the mountains is going to score in December, I think it will be in the first few days of the month. After that I think it’s predominantly mild the rest of the way.
Let's not forget the deep south had a major snowstorm (8-12") in some areas in early December 2017.
Ok, we'll try to remember!
And Dec 2018.
