Um 
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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
That trough in the NE is a squash Job
The only way we get snow out of wave #1 is if we first get the northern wave ahead on the southern wave. Then a small part of the northern waves phases, while the other part of the wave moves east, allowing HP to build in. Not likely IMO.
You can tell Van Denton is getting excited.
ICON has the phase, it’s just in Bangor, Maine lol
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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AK looks awfully cold, isn’t that an issue?
Trough coming out Canada is much weaker lol 
GFS has a nice Aleutian low and the ICON just looks meh. That might be why the PV looks a lot more purpley’ish south of Greenland on the GFS which helps our cause. I guess this is what I get for dissecting the ICON.
Super conservative MRX has this in the forecast:
Monday Night
A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 46.
Monday Night
A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 46.
lol what trough? ??
whatalife
Moderator
Time to find the cliff! (sarcasm) 
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Remember this as well. There is “usually” 3 waves most of the time in our trof pattern/chances for winter around here. The 1st one rarely produces snow outside of the higher terrain. 2 and 3 sometimes are a different story.
Wait for it
?
Congrats @Tarheel1
I wonder if the cold core itself can do magic 
Dewpoint Dan
Member
At this rate our friend in Billings might be the big winner.
I wonder if this run will be further suppressed given the upper level trough is slower, but there’s the energy in Canada and in Cali 
That is gold lol
The trend on the GFS is for lower heights into AK and a less tall western ridge. That’s what I see at least. That deepening low southeast of Greenland may be the culprit?
I’ll take it and run away with it 
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I don't get why it shows snow in extreme North GA but rain in Chicago ?
?
It’s gonna be close 
Better wave axis, which was an issue the last run.
Absolute monster of a low. Wraparound moisture for days 
I don’t know how you don’t get moisture with this looks.
This comes to mind, same SE Canada ridge, very +PNA 
CMC 
FWIW the CMC has backend snow all the way down to FL.
Nice Storm!
Apparently most of the CMC is rain. SMH
NorthGaWinter4
Member
The cmc looks nice imo.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Give me that track all day. That’s close to a board wide winter storm
This look reminds me of the December 2018 storm.
BufordWX
Member
The GEFS still has a few members with wrap around snow for wave 1. Also member 7 crushes central Tennessee.
