Trough diving in a touch slower. Southern piece of energy as well as the northern piece appear to be maybe a but further north this run
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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
ULL is stronger and the energy in Canada is slower which isn’t good 
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
All in all I think it’s similar to last run. Still should see some snow fire up west of the mountains as that low pushes up the apps
Amp’d solutions don’t scare me at this range. Especially from the GFS lol
This is honestly getting more interesting for severe weather 
I’m just not convinced we’re going to have a low that beefy cut through the heart of Tennessee like the GFS just showed. I would lean towards an apps runner at this stage.
Not really even the time frame in question, remember people this one is the table setter, its what comes after
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
The West trend is real. Now I can see why we want to suppress the look
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Six Mile Wx
Member
The models are going to be all over the place for a week. The thing to watch is the PNA and blocking.
Getting more interested in that ULL after, getting close to CMC/ICON here 
Spicy
Last couple runs of the gfs are all over the place, its gonna be a few days before the first week of December can be called with any confidence. In the mean time watch the ens
Trailing wave coming accross California is speeding up with each progressive run ? could get interesting here 
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
? 
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Deleted member 609
Guest
Who invited this guy to the party
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Deleted member 609
Guest
Bring us the glooooory
Get your ketchup and mustard ready
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Congrats Muncie. 29" 
Not a bad look, players are out there just have to wait and see how this shapes up in the coming days
A lot going on. Too much to sort through at this stage imo. This is not your basic setup here and globals should continue to struggle at this range.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Major suppression on the 18Z GFS. Honestly though I'll take that look at this point
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For ~ the day 10 time, I like this look.
Low getting shoved south of the panhandle. Suppressed is bueno
And plenty of cold air!
And then out to sea; but this is day 10. We just need the potential right now.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The infamous "PV hook" signature is showing up for wave #1 consistently across most NWP models... only see this in the most intense extratropical cyclones.
Notice the stratospheric air descending into the troposphere in the cold conveyor belt of the extratropical cyclone (south & eastern sides) w/ low-PV air from the tropics & subtropics completely enveloping the cyclone and eventually leading to warm occlusion.
Notice the stratospheric air descending into the troposphere in the cold conveyor belt of the extratropical cyclone (south & eastern sides) w/ low-PV air from the tropics & subtropics completely enveloping the cyclone and eventually leading to warm occlusion.
Jessy89
Member
Nw trend needs to happen
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I like what I’ve seen today, because the ECMWF loves to hold back, which is a bias and could possibly be the culprit of that super amped system (and it phased a couple times) and the gfs loves to be quick/progressive which is probably why it’s so far south 
Don’t you put that evil on us, Jessy
It’s happening gif 
Dang! Memeber 15 is a GA monster!
That and there’s snow on the backside with the first wave on some members ?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
From what I can tell, it dumps a foot and a half around here. Sacrifice the rest of the winter and I'll take that lol.
BufordWX
Member
Member 13 is not bad looking for Georgia either.
It has the Toccoa warm bubble so I wouldn’t dismiss it entirely
Jessy89
Member
That warm bubble will extend into Clemson to
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Six Mile Wx
Member
